The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+ The eSports 2013 Collection
StatTrak™
Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 1713127 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+49 733.03₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».60 624.14₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.110 357.17₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+82.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.90%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 145 825.37₽
· profit at most −35 468.20₽
(at most -24.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) × 16% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16997.42 → 2154.43 ₽
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 56% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.4725273.80 → 62426.29 ₽
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) × 46% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.3734352.92 → 81244.66 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 185 ₽Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 185 ₽: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New), StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)
!
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 45.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +2 513.99 ₽.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −13 185 ₽marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −12 216 ₽marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −9 501 ₽marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −12 958 ₽marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
7× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0044
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0038
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
997.42 ₽
at 997.42
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003864f′ (normalized) 0.019322wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 24) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0744
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
25 273.80 ₽
at 5 054.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074416f′ (normalized) 0.019481wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 1) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0605
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
34 352.92 ₽
at 8 588.23
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060552f′ (normalized) 0.004600wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 10) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs60 624.14 ₽
+49 733.03
(+82.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.070000, 0.062973, 0.005405, 0.002703«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −16 094 ₽
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0038
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
3 989.68 ₽
at 997.42
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003881f′ (normalized) 0.019408wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 24) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0744
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
10 109.52 ₽
at 5 054.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074436f′ (normalized) 0.019508wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 1) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0605
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
34 352.92 ₽
at 8 588.23
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060554f′ (normalized) 0.004621wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 10) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs48 452.12 ₽
+26 690.15
(+55.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.070000, 0.062973, 0.005405, 0.002703«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −17 063 ₽
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0038
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
4 987.10 ₽
at 997.42
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003884f′ (normalized) 0.019424wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 24) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0744
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
5 054.76 ₽
at 5 054.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074439f′ (normalized) 0.019513wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 1) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0605
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
34 352.92 ₽
at 8 588.23
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060554f′ (normalized) 0.004624wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 10) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs44 394.78 ₽
+19 009.20
(+42.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.005405, 0.002703, 0.070000, 0.062973«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −18 033 ₽
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0038
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
5 984.52 ₽
at 997.42
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003887f′ (normalized) 0.019437wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 24) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0605
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
34 352.92 ₽
at 8 588.23
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060555f′ (normalized) 0.004627wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 10) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs40 337.44 ₽
+11 328.24
(+28.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.005405, 0.002703, 0.070000, 0.062973«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −15 124 ₽
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0038
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
2 992.26 ₽
at 997.42
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003877f′ (normalized) 0.019387wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 24) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0744
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
15 164.28 ₽
at 5 054.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074431f′ (normalized) 0.019502wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 1) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0605
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
34 352.92 ₽
at 8 588.23
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060553f′ (normalized) 0.004616wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 10) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs52 509.46 ₽
+34 371.11
(+65.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.070000, 0.062973, 0.005405, 0.002703«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate
Factory New
107 072.65 ₽45.00%
sell on CSFloat
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New)net 104931.19you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 107 072.65 ₽listings 6 · you get 104 931.19 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 86 071.07 ₽
(you get 74 844.40)) · buy orders: 598not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 107 072.65 ₽listings: 6Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 66 622.32 ₽listings: 12
on Lis-Skins: from 70 631.12 ₽listings: 10
at a loss
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now
Factory New
5 783.94 ₽5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)net 5029.51you get 0.005405
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 086.01 ₽
(you get 3 553.05)) · buy orders: 181
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 325.24 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 5 839.08 · lots 10price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 3 768.96 ₽listings: 19
on CS.Money: ~ 4 389.98 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 4 873.09 ₽listings: 22
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow
Factory New
5 054.77 ₽5.00%
SteamStatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New)net 4395.45you get 0.002703sells 3 a weeksell now to a buy order: 5 310.95 ₽
(you get 4 618.21)) · buy orders: 279
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 360.17 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 4 780.89 · lots 10price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 3 969.40 ₽listings: 54
on CS.Money: ~ 4 356.57 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 4 578.43 ₽listings: 31
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+48 864.71 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+49 293.96 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
7 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1716186
· The Bravo Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 52 030.97₽
· invest 63 938.91₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 720 ₽marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074403 instead of 0.074416; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060550 instead of 0.060552
profit on prices without salesat least −12 958 ₽marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074403 instead of 0.074416; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060550 instead of 0.060552
Craft 1720175
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 50 404.89₽
· invest 60 199.42₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 834 ₽marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075550 instead of 0.074416; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060693 instead of 0.060552
Craft 1739407
· The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 50 396.56₽
· invest 60 636.49₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 304 ₽marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075108 instead of 0.074416; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060638 instead of 0.060552
Craft 1741311
· The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 50 260.66₽
· invest 59 787.72₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 461 ₽marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074631 instead of 0.074416; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060578 instead of 0.060552
Craft 1733705
· The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 50 223.53₽
· invest 59 945.89₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 600 ₽marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074881 instead of 0.074416; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060610 instead of 0.060552
Craft 1743141
· The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 50 018.25₽
· invest 60 526.72₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 308 ₽marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074953 instead of 0.074416; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060619 instead of 0.060552
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
