Crafts · The Arms Deal 3 Collection
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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1713130 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 722.58₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 840.58₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 563.16₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +60.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 41%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 7 222.09₽ · profit at most −2 658.92₽ (at most -36.8%) · chance of profit at most 20%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 529.02 → 1142.68 ₽
XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2311.56 → 6079.40 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 768 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 768 ₽: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New), Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New), PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New), Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 722.58 ₽ +60.6% chance of profit 41%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 768 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0760
  • 9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0852
Variant 2 The Mirage Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+30 302.13 ₽ +150.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 146 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+6 645.32 ₽ +73.0% chance of profit 92%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 053 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+3 553.76 ₽ +138.5% chance of profit 35%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −2 023 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0778
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068
Variant 5 The Chop Shop Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+2 208.23 ₽ +15.5% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New) · 36 033.45 ₽ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −13 985 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+2 166.20 ₽ +184.6% chance of profit 44%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −370 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0760
529.02 ₽
at 529.02
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076050f′ (normalized) 0.021689wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 527.17 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×9
XM1014 | Red Python
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0800–0.0852
2 311.56 ₽
at 256.84
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.085294f′ (normalized) 0.012604wear 0.0800–0.1500on the market 42 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 3 815.10 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 2 840.58 ₽ +1 722.58 (+60.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.002703, 0.001081, 0.070000, 0.002703, 0.010811, 0.002703, 0.002703 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 9 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 41%
  • Losing outcome 59%
at a loss
PP-Bizon | Blue Streak
Factory New
1 500.00 ₽ 18.00%
price without deals
Steam PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)net 1304.35 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 156.09 ₽ (you get 1 005.29)) · buy orders: 826 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 251.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 372.46 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 1 596.67 ₽ listings: 11 on CS.Money: ~ 1 221.48 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 183.80 ₽ listings: 40
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web
Factory New
18 009.07 ₽ 18.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 15660.06 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 852.30 ₽ (you get 12 915.04)) · buy orders: 1148 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 842.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 985.51 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 11 562.99 ₽ listings: 54 on CS.Money: ~ 12 404.15 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 939.03 ₽ listings: 64
in profit
Glock-18 | Steel Disruption
Factory New
3 837.77 ₽ 18.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New)net 3337.19 you get 0.002703The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 43 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 905.28 ₽ (you get 3 395.89)) · buy orders: 5644 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 240.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 553.38 · lots 28 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 3 168.49 ₽ listings: 101 on CS.Money: ~ 3 489.71 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 262.72 ₽ listings: 89
at a loss
MP7 | Ocean Foam
Factory New
1 060.53 ₽ 18.00%
Steam MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)net 922.20 you get 0.001081The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 28 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 062.38 ₽ (you get 923.80)) · buy orders: 3956 sell on Market.CSGO: 890.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 976.80 · lots 56 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 848.87 ₽ listings: 110 on CS.Money: ~ 887.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 863.43 ₽ listings: 184
at a loss
P90 | Virus
Factory New
1 643.05 ₽ 18.00%
Steam P90 | Virus (Factory New)net 1428.74 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 1 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 638.04 ₽ (you get 1 424.38)) · buy orders: 1297 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 268.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 487.28 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 1 600.09 ₽ listings: 11 on CS.Money: ~ 1 570.11 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 511.87 ₽ listings: 17
at a loss
worst
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
701.60 ₽ 2.50%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New)net 610.09 you get 0.002703 sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 689.45 ₽ (you get 599.52)) · buy orders: 1046 sell on Market.CSGO: 588.96 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 645.79 · lots 37 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 566.20 ₽ listings: 71 on CS.Money: ~ 576.48 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 591.90 ₽ listings: 91
in profit
Desert Eagle | Heirloom
Factory New
11 868.00 ₽ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New)net 10320.00 you get 0.010811
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 064.42 ₽ (you get 8 751.66)) · buy orders: 1313 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 219.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 108.84 · lots 14 on CSFloat: from 8 176.07 ₽ listings: 36 on CS.Money: ~ 8 313.12 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 725.99 ₽ listings: 59
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy
Factory New
1 541.91 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)net 1340.79 you get 0.002703 sells ≈21 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 585.44 ₽ (you get 1 378.64)) · buy orders: 2117 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 312.05 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 438.66 · lots 55 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 387.66 ₽ listings: 178 on CS.Money: ~ 1 263.46 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 282.30 ₽ listings: 187
in profit
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit
Factory New
8 230.94 ₽ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)net 7157.34 you get 0.002703
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 166.28 ₽ (you get 7 101.11)) · buy orders: 2386 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 201.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 799.99 · lots 16 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 6 398.66 ₽ listings: 34 on CS.Money: ~ 6 048.32 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 072.30 ₽ listings: 57
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