The Arms Deal Collection
+ The Shattered Web Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1713373 · ways to build: 2StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+28 952.89₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».48 595.44₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.77 548.33₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+59.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.100%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 114 567.26₽
· profit at most −37 018.93₽
(at most -32.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New) × 15% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1620745.68 → 44810.67 ₽
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) × 25% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.213706.76 → 8191.94 ₽
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) × 75% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.5524143.00 → 61564.65 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −48 595 ₽Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −48 595 ₽: StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −27 284 ₽marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1628
1× StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1616
How to build
Ways to build
2 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0035
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
20 745.68 ₽
at 20 745.68
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003587f′ (normalized) 0.044849wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 43 · from 18 556.12 ₽ (float 0.0027) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1617
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 706.76 ₽
at 1 853.38
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161788f′ (normalized) 0.161788wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 34 · from 2 752.20 ₽ (float 0.1611) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1617
(0% of this wear's listings)
24 143.00 ₽
at 3 449.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161788f′ (normalized) 0.047367wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 47) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs48 595.44 ₽
+28 952.89
(+59.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.005600«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −65 892 ₽
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0036
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
41 491.36 ₽
at 20 745.68
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003621f′ (normalized) 0.045272wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 43 · from 18 556.12 ₽ (float 0.0027) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1619
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 706.76 ₽
at 1 853.38
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161900f′ (normalized) 0.161900wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 34 · from 2 752.20 ₽ (float 0.1611) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1619
(0% of this wear's listings)
20 694.00 ₽
at 3 449.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161900f′ (normalized) 0.047609wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 47) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs65 892.12 ₽
+14 203.69
(+21.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.005600«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
3 outcomes
Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%
in profit
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach
Factory New
99 742.23 ₽45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)net 86732.37you get 0.070000The Shattered Web Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 75 118.31 ₽
(you get 65 320.26)) · buy orders: 1834
sell on Market.CSGO: 73 537.16 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 80 632.86 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 55 078.17 ₽listings: 16
on Lis-Skins: from 63 132.60 ₽listings: 19
in profit
worst
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker
Factory New
72 759.74 ₽45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New)net 63269.34you get 0.070000The Shattered Web Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 31 319.70 ₽
(you get 27 234.52)) · buy orders: 3324not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 47 231.03 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 39 559.49 ₽listings: 8
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike
Factory New
115 546.96 ₽10.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)net 100475.62you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 78 856.34 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 86 465.29 · lots 14price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 70 238.80 ₽listings: 73
on CS.Money: ~ 77 505.18 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 76 196.32 ₽listings: 57
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+23 788.52 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+28 211.67 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1716049
· The Bravo Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 29 337.99₽
· invest 50 849.76₽
profit on prices without salesat least −39 743 ₽marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162545 instead of 0.161788; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162545 instead of 0.161788
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
