The Bravo Collection
+ The Operation Broken Fang Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1715850 · ways to build: 1StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+30 183.16₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».357 356.96₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.387 540.12₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+8.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.50%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 866 875.42₸
· profit at most −479 335.30₸
(at most -55.3%) · chance of profit at most 5%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) × 110% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16121310.50 → 262030.69 ₸
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) × 110% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1615152.47 → 32729.34 ₸
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) × 810% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.59220893.98 → 572115.41 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −279 471 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −279 471 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New), StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)
!
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 5.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -28 395.99 ₸.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −279 471 ₸marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
10% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ P2000 | Ocean Foam
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0071
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
121 310.50 ₸
at 121 310.50
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007161f′ (normalized) 0.059681wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 6 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1735
(0% of this wear's listings)
15 152.47 ₸
at 15 152.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.173531f′ (normalized) 0.177073wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×8
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0781
(0% of this wear's listings)
220 893.98 ₸
at 27 611.75
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078184f′ (normalized) 0.079780wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs357 356.96 ₸
+30 183.16
(+8.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.087500, 0.070000, 0.121250, 0.010500«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
Minimal Wear
49 339.30 ₸45.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)net 42903.73you get 0.087500The Operation Broken Fang Collectionsells 5 a weekno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 39 225.54 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 43 010.48 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 35 538.02 ₸listings: 32
on CS.Money: ~ 37 955.10 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 36 672.01 ₸listings: 48
sell now to a buy order: 545 480.96 ₸
(you get 474 331.24)) · buy orders: 1968
sell on Market.CSGO: 432 968.21 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 474 745.86 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 421 237.85 ₸listings: 56
on CS.Money: ~ 488 008.26 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 442 661.87 ₸listings: 53
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent
Minimal Wear
1 195 492.91 ₸5.00%
sell on CSFloat
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)net 1171583.03you get 0.121250no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 195 492.91 ₸listings 32 · you get 1 171 583.03 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 284 330.12 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 1 408 256.72 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 1 195 492.91 ₸listings: 32
on Lis-Skins: from 1 243 685.62 ₸listings: 43
at a loss
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Golden Koi
Factory New
191 743.54 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)net 166733.53you get 0.010500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 155 235.67 ₸
(you get 134 987.52)) · buy orders: 248
sell on Market.CSGO: 137 679.35 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 150 964.22 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 132 321.01 ₸listings: 38
on Lis-Skins: from 134 652.29 ₸listings: 39
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+22 153.67 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+28 359.13 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Bravo Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
profit on prices without salesat least −326 160 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169638 instead of 0.173531; StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076830 instead of 0.078184
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
