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The Bravo Collection + The Overpass Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +97.11$

Invest 345.94$

Average return 443.05$

ROI +28.1%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 837.76$ · profit at most −394.70$ (at most -47.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 24.78 → 53.52 $

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 86.09 → 203.60 $

AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 235.08 → 580.64 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −337 $

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Bravo Collection + The Overpass Collection

+97.11 $ +28.1% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New) · 477.15 $ · chance 90%

profit on prices without salesat least −337 $

1× M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
5× AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+14.67 $ +19.4% chance of profit 40%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× MAC-10 | Graven (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1660
3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1660
6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048

Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+12.53 $ +24.1% chance of profit 40%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 148.20 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× MAC-10 | Graven (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636

Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+10.71 $ +12.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) · 146.97 $ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

1× USP-S | Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

Variant 5 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+6.04 $ +18.9% chance of profit 10%

expensive: P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) · 393.90 $ · chance 3.3%

marketplace price

1× MAC-10 | Graven (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
9× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+5.80 $ +8.7% chance of profit 10%

expensive: P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) · 146.97 $ · chance 3.3%

rare inputs

1× MAC-10 | Graven (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1688
4× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

M4A4 | Zirka

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

24.78 $

at 24.78

Steam

×4

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

86.09 $

at 21.52

souvenirSteam

×5

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

235.08 $

at 47.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 345.94 $ +97.11 (+28.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −309 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

M4A4 | Zirka

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

24.78 $

at 24.78

Steam

×1

USP-S | Overgrowth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

28.91 $

at 28.91

Steam

×4

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

86.09 $

at 21.52

souvenirSteam

×4

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

188.06 $

at 47.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 327.84 $ +81.12 (+24.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −282 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

M4A4 | Zirka

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

24.78 $

at 24.78

Steam

×2

USP-S | Overgrowth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

57.82 $

at 28.91

Steam

×4

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

86.09 $

at 21.52

souvenirSteam

×3

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

141.05 $

at 47.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 309.73 $ +65.13 (+21.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −254 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

M4A4 | Zirka

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

24.78 $

at 24.78

Steam

×3

USP-S | Overgrowth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

86.73 $

at 28.91

Steam

×4

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

86.09 $

at 21.52

souvenirSteam

×2

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

94.03 $

at 47.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 291.62 $ +49.14 (+16.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −227 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

M4A4 | Zirka

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

24.78 $

at 24.78

Steam

×4

USP-S | Overgrowth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

115.64 $

at 28.91

Steam

×4

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

86.09 $

at 21.52

souvenirSteam

×1

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

47.02 $

at 47.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 273.52 $ +33.16 (+12.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Master Piece

Factory New

548.72 $ 90.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Graphite

Factory New

154.61 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

169.01 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Emerald Dragon

Minimal Wear

146.26 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -23.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +84.99 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Bravo Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1737767 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 97.14$ · invest 349.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −345 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167473 instead of 0.163548; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076077 instead of 0.074712
Craft 1737305 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 95.75$ · invest 342.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −341 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167819 instead of 0.163548; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076197 instead of 0.074712
Craft 1714534 · The Bank Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 95.25$ · invest 334.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −334 $ rare inputs

AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168107 instead of 0.163548; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076298 instead of 0.074712
Craft 1739003 · The Overpass Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 91.07$ · invest 349.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −338 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166099 instead of 0.163548; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.074712
Craft 1734650 · The Havoc Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 88.69$ · invest 402.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −403 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Hypnotic (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162625 instead of 0.163548; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074712

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Bravo Collection + The Overpass Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build