to all crafts

The Breakout Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +11 428.28₽

Invest 16 674.12₽

Average return 28 102.40₽

ROI +68.5%

Chance of profit 65%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 39 811.26₽ · profit at most −11 708.87₽ (at most -29.4%) · chance of profit at most 35%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 4315.54 → 9537.34 ₽

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 3180.67 → 6870.25 ₽

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 9177.91 → 23403.67 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −16 674 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

+11 428.28 ₽ +68.5% chance of profit 65%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) · 41 716.03 ₽ · chance 35%

profit on prices without salesat least −16 674 ₽

2× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
1× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
7× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+34 556.26 ₽ +153.2% chance of profit 95%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection

+33 801.56 ₽ +144.5% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection

+21 841.10 ₽ +52.2% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0076
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0787
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0076

Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+20 674.83 ₽ +48.2% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093

Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection

+10 256.11 ₽ +81.0% chance of profit 55%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 36 575.01 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

4 315.54 ₽

at 2 157.77

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

3 180.67 ₽

at 3 180.67

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

9 177.91 ₽

at 1 311.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 674.12 ₽ +11 428.28 (+68.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −21 754 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

17 262.16 ₽

at 2 157.77

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

3 180.67 ₽

at 3 180.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

1 311.13 ₽

at 1 311.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 753.96 ₽ +6 900.04 (+31.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −20 907 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

15 104.39 ₽

at 2 157.77

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

3 180.67 ₽

at 3 180.67

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

2 622.26 ₽

at 1 311.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 907.32 ₽ +7 654.74 (+36.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −20 061 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

12 946.62 ₽

at 2 157.77

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

3 180.67 ₽

at 3 180.67

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

3 933.39 ₽

at 1 311.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 060.68 ₽ +8 409.45 (+41.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast

Factory New

47 973.44 ₽ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

16 027.73 ₽ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

27 760.32 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

38 355.32 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8 914.77 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10 906.35 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Chroma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1719877 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 14 298.72₽ · invest 12 394.02₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 394 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163406 instead of 0.161711
Craft 1719199 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 12 726.18₽ · invest 14 513.05₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 513 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161505 instead of 0.161711
Craft 1717148 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 12 448.82₽ · invest 13 333.08₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 792 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167358 instead of 0.161711
Craft 1719693 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 11 028.80₽ · invest 14 612.34₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 612 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166626 instead of 0.161711

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build