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The Breakout Collection + The Chroma Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +874.74₽

Invest 3 775.86₽

Average return 4 650.60₽

ROI +23.2%

Chance of profit 47%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 267.37₽ · profit at most −4 616.77₽ (at most -49.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 2327.34 → 5841.62 ₽

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1448.52 → 3425.75 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 218 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Chroma Collection

+874.74 ₽ +23.2% chance of profit 47%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) · 8 341.49 ₽ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 218 ₽

6× StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
4× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+1 256.21 ₽ +72.2% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) · 5 216.83 ₽ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
6× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
3× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

Variant 3 The Fever Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+1 182.53 ₽ +57.5% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) · 8 341.49 ₽ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
7× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
2× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 4 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+1 152.47 ₽ +52.0% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) · 8 341.49 ₽ · chance 13%

sells slowly

4× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
6× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+1 142.35 ₽ +41.9% chance of profit 67%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) · 8 341.49 ₽ · chance 17%

sells slowly

5× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
1× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
4× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+1 111.08 ₽ +38.4% chance of profit 80%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) · 8 341.49 ₽ · chance 13%

sells slowly

4× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

2 327.34 ₽

at 387.89

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

1 448.52 ₽

at 362.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 775.86 ₽ +874.74 (+23.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

3 057.37 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Factory New

3 629.00 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

5 999.36 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel

Factory New

9 592.71 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)

Factory New

7 881.09 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

3 609.06 ₽ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +255.37 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +738.80 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Chroma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1721395 · The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1 152.47₽ · invest 2 216.52₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.161675
Craft 1721819 · The Chroma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1 142.35₽ · invest 2 725.69₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162338 instead of 0.161675
Craft 1721820 · The Chroma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1 135.67₽ · invest 2 563.08₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164685 instead of 0.161675
Craft 1721654 · The Chroma Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 1 111.08₽ · invest 2 890.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164386 instead of 0.161675
Craft 1721580 · The Chroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 1 066.49₽ · invest 3 406.50₽
profit on prices without salesat least −239 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168201 instead of 0.161675
Craft 1721655 · The Chroma Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 1 057.13₽ · invest 2 923.37₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165493 instead of 0.161675
Craft 1721984 · The Chroma Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 961.10₽ · invest 3 894.14₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164739 instead of 0.161675
Craft 1721423 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 905.88₽ · invest 2 594.46₽
profit on prices without salesat least −153 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163681 instead of 0.161675

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Chroma Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build