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The Breakout Collection + The Gallery Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +10 809.45₸

Invest 51 481.33₸

Average return 62 290.78₸

ROI +21.0%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 123 149.83₸ · profit at most −60 859.05₸ (at most -49.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 12205.05 → 26362.91 ₸

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 7186.07 → 16240.51 ₸

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 32090.21 → 80546.44 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Gallery Collection

+10 809.45 ₸ +21.0% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) · 94 296.08 ₸ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
3× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1644
6× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

+19 522.93 ₸ +48.2% chance of profit 55%

expensive: P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) · 118 104.79 ₸ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+18 474.70 ₸ +62.6% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 64 689.72 ₸ · chance 25%

sells slowly

5× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
3× XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
2× R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2565

Variant 4 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

+16 534.11 ₸ +42.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) · 93 043.94 ₸ · chance 5.0%

float out of reach

1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1649

Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+15 608.58 ₸ +40.7% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 64 689.72 ₸ · chance 30%

sells slowly

5× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
1× P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
4× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+15 503.84 ₸ +47.9% chance of profit 70%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 64 689.72 ₸ · chance 20%

sells slowly

4× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
6× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

12 205.05 ₸

at 12 205.05

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

7 186.07 ₸

at 2 395.36

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

32 090.21 ₸

at 5 348.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51 481.33 ₸ +10 809.45 (+21.0%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

36 615.15 ₸

at 12 205.05

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

9 581.42 ₸

at 2 395.36

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

16 045.11 ₸

at 5 348.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62 241.68 ₸ +7 022.24 (+11.3%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

11 690.53 ₸

at 11 690.53

Steam

×4

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

48 820.20 ₸

at 12 205.05

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

11 976.78 ₸

at 2 395.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72 487.51 ₸ +3 749.60 (+5.2%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

11 690.53 ₸

at 11 690.53

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

12 205.05 ₸

at 12 205.05

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

7 186.07 ₸

at 2 395.36

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

26 741.85 ₸

at 5 348.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57 823.50 ₸ +7 953.86 (+13.8%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

48 820.20 ₸

at 12 205.05

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

11 976.78 ₸

at 2 395.36

Steam

×1

P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

4 885.33 ₸

at 4 885.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 65 682.31 ₸ +7 068.18 (+10.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

60 856.47 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Factory New

74 393.19 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

108 440.46 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

107 000.51 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -972.12 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 090.61 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1717459 · The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 11 034.66₸ · invest 44 929.51₸
sells slowly цена ненадёжна rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165700 instead of 0.164464; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075461 instead of 0.075030
Craft 1730494 · The Gallery Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 10 770.94₸ · invest 44 565.79₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166141 instead of 0.164464; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075614 instead of 0.075030
Craft 1723827 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 10 528.32₸ · invest 44 887.73₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165494 instead of 0.164464; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075389 instead of 0.075030

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Gallery Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build