Crafts · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection + The Gamma Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1716536 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 570.85₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 229.06₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 3 799.91₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +70.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 53%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 437.50₽ · profit at most −1 637.59₽ (at most -30.1%) · chance of profit at most 33%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Koi (Factory New) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 1662.36 → 4172.52 ₽
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 409.08 → 924.52 ₽
P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 157.62 → 340.46 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Gamma Collection
+1 570.85 ₽ +70.5% chance of profit 53%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 6 788.25 ₽ · chance 13%
rare inputs
  • 6× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 3× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+3 008.42 ₽ +127.0% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 18 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
  • 1× G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+2 597.18 ₽ +111.8% chance of profit 47%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+2 491.64 ₽ +73.9% chance of profit 83%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 25%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 3× Nova | Smart Gun (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
  • 2× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+2 243.12 ₽ +45.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+2 063.28 ₽ +83.0% chance of profit 77%
expensive: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) · 6 555.90 ₽ · chance 23%
rare inputs
  • 7× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 2× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Nova | Koi
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0041
1 662.36 ₽
at 277.06
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004197f′ (normalized) 0.013992wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 183 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 612.18 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×3
Sawed-Off | Limelight
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1637
409.08 ₽
at 136.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163793f′ (normalized) 0.163793wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 94 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
P90 | Chopper
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0747
157.62 ₽
at 157.62
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074797f′ (normalized) 0.124662wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 135 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 2 229.06 ₽ +1 570.85 (+70.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.021000, 0.070000, 0.049000, 0.044100, 0.070000, 0.031500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 53%
  • Losing outcome 47%
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
2 252.12 ₽ 20.00%
Steam Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)net 1958.37 you get 0.021000 sells 153 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 295.93 ₽ (you get 1 996.46)) · buy orders: 11210 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 730.14 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 897.09 · lots 142 on CSFloat: from 1 746.57 ₽ listings: 519 on CS.Money: ~ 1 953.86 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 791.97 ₽ listings: 352
in profit
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play
Factory New
7 539.29 ₽ 20.00%
price without deals
Steam Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New)net 6555.90 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 341.05 ₽ (you get 6 383.52)) · buy orders: 840 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 659.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 302.58 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 5 947.24 ₽ listings: 34 on CS.Money: ~ 5 894.14 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 786.21 ₽ listings: 65
in profit
Glock-18 | Water Elemental
Factory New
4 366.04 ₽ 20.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)net 3796.56 you get 0.049000 sells 65 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 363.32 ₽ (you get 3 794.19)) · buy orders: 10135 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 586.51 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 932.58 · lots 92 on CSFloat: from 3 300.41 ₽ listings: 262 on CS.Money: ~ 3 634.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 573.66 ₽ listings: 353
at a loss
P2000 | Imperial Dragon
Factory New
2 408.03 ₽ 13.33%
Steam P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)net 2093.94 you get 0.044100The Gamma Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 250.03 ₽ (you get 1 956.54)) · buy orders: 2727 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 866.85 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 046.99 · lots 56 on CSFloat: from 1 860.49 ₽ listings: 116 on CS.Money: ~ 1 944.44 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 993.26 ₽ listings: 167
in profit
best
M4A4 | Desolate Space
Factory New
7 806.49 ₽ 13.33%
Steam M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)net 6788.25 you get 0.070000The Gamma Collection sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 309.72 ₽ (you get 7 225.84)) · buy orders: 2240 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 522.71 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 152.10 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 5 440.15 ₽ listings: 137 on CS.Money: ~ 6 100.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 919.83 ₽ listings: 197
at a loss
worst
SCAR-20 | Bloodsport
Factory New
1 323.52 ₽ 13.33%
Steam SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New)net 1150.89 you get 0.031500The Gamma Collection sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 291.88 ₽ (you get 1 123.37)) · buy orders: 2482 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 080.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 185.07 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 1 025.33 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 1 063.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 097.28 ₽ listings: 139
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