Crafts · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1716833 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 063.28₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 486.61₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 549.89₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +83.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 77%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 6 140.55₽ · profit at most −1 590.66₽ (at most -25.9%) · chance of profit at most 23%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Koi (Factory New) × 7 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 1939.42 → 4945.52 ₽
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 262.04 → 579.11 ₽
USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 285.15 → 615.92 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection
+2 063.28 ₽ +83.0% chance of profit 77%
expensive: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) · 6 555.90 ₽ · chance 23%
rare inputs
  • 7× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 2× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+3 008.42 ₽ +127.0% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 18 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
  • 1× G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+2 491.64 ₽ +73.9% chance of profit 83%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 25%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 3× Nova | Smart Gun (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
  • 2× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+2 223.57 ₽ +42.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+1 986.49 ₽ +78.2% chance of profit 77%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 7 174.07 ₽ · chance 15%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 18 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 1× XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 2× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+1 931.36 ₽ +75.8% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 17%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 18 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 5× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7
Nova | Koi
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
1 939.42 ₽
at 277.06
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003868f′ (normalized) 0.012894wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 183 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 612.18 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 140) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1627
262.04 ₽
at 131.02
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162710f′ (normalized) 0.242851wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 993 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 7 of 249 · from 369.19 ₽ (float 0.1603) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
USP-S | Bleeding Edge
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0744
285.15 ₽
at 285.15
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074420f′ (normalized) 0.124034wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 374 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 236 · from 713.53 ₽ (float 0.0701) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 2 486.61 ₽ +2 063.28 (+83.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.021000, 0.070000, 0.049000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 77%
  • Losing outcome 23%
in profit
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge
Factory New
6 429.90 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New)net 5591.22 you get 0.070000The Radiant Collection sells 45 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 204.08 ₽ (you get 5 394.85)) · buy orders: 4085 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 789.43 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 251.57 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 4 708.63 ₽ listings: 145 on CS.Money: ~ 5 150.62 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 131.78 ₽ listings: 183
at a loss
worst
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
2 252.12 ₽ 23.33%
Steam Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)net 1958.37 you get 0.021000 sells 153 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 295.93 ₽ (you get 1 996.46)) · buy orders: 11210 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 730.14 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 897.09 · lots 142 on CSFloat: from 1 746.57 ₽ listings: 519 on CS.Money: ~ 1 953.86 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 791.97 ₽ listings: 352
in profit
best
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play
Factory New
7 539.29 ₽ 23.33%
price without deals
Steam Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New)net 6555.90 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 341.05 ₽ (you get 6 383.52)) · buy orders: 840 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 659.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 302.58 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 5 947.24 ₽ listings: 34 on CS.Money: ~ 5 894.14 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 786.21 ₽ listings: 65
in profit
Glock-18 | Water Elemental
Factory New
4 366.04 ₽ 23.33%
Steam Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)net 3796.56 you get 0.049000 sells 65 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 363.32 ₽ (you get 3 794.19)) · buy orders: 10135 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 586.51 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 932.58 · lots 92 on CSFloat: from 3 300.41 ₽ listings: 262 on CS.Money: ~ 3 634.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 573.66 ₽ listings: 353
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