Crafts · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1716869 · ways to build: 2 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +965.84₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 856.40₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 7 822.24₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +14.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 55%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 16 352.25₽ · profit at most −8 530.01₽ (at most -52.2%) · chance of profit at most 10%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2314.03 → 4998.30 ₽
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 673.82 → 1489.14 ₽
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) × 7 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 3868.55 → 9864.80 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection
+965.84 ₽ +14.1% chance of profit 55%
expensive: M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) · 17 878.17 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 2× UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1655
  • 7× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+3 701.47 ₽ +48.2% chance of profit 55%
expensive: P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) · 22 392.21 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 15 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+3 134.80 ₽ +42.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) · 17 640.77 ₽ · chance 5.0%
float out of reach rare inputs The rarest input sells 15 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1649
Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+2 677.81 ₽ +43.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0061
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+2 423.62 ₽ +27.8% chance of profit 60%
expensive: P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) · 22 392.21 ₽ · chance 10%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 6 only The Revolution Collection
+2 317.79 ₽ +38.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 50%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 9× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060

How to build Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0047
2 314.03 ₽
at 2 314.03
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004747f′ (normalized) 0.015824wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 358 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 3 298.67 ₽ · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 352 · from 3 403.20 ₽ (float 0.0020) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
UMP-45 | Wild Child
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1655
673.82 ₽
at 336.91
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165598f′ (normalized) 0.165598wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 694 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 480.58 ₽ · among lots up to 517.50 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 375 · from 376.90 ₽ (float 0.1642) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
P2000 | Wicked Sick
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0754
3 868.55 ₽
at 552.65
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075425f′ (normalized) 0.075425wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 394 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 297) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 6 856.40 ₽ +965.84 (+14.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.087500, 0.070000, 0.043750, 0.080500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 55%
  • Losing outcome 45%
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Head Shot
Minimal Wear
5 283.38 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)net 4594.24 you get 0.087500The Revolution Collection sells 188 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 258.36 ₽ (you get 4 572.48)) · buy orders: 4758 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 876.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 250.00 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 3 833.20 ₽ listings: 308 on CS.Money: ~ 4 109.88 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 198.10 ₽ listings: 448
in profit
M4A4 | Temukau
Factory New
10 168.27 ₽ 45.00%
Steam M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)net 8841.97 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection sells 48 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 835.87 ₽ (you get 8 552.93)) · buy orders: 8698 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 853.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 610.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 7 323.77 ₽ listings: 249 on CS.Money: ~ 8 042.44 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 790.61 ₽ listings: 406
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
20 559.89 ₽ 5.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)net 17878.17 you get 0.043750 sells ≈32 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 20 019.82 ₽ (you get 17 408.53)) · buy orders: 2437 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 307.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 881.15 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 14 889.09 ₽ listings: 197 on CS.Money: ~ 17 121.34 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 381.26 ₽ listings: 146
in profit
P90 | Asiimov
Minimal Wear
20 286.88 ₽ 5.00%
Steam P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)net 17640.77 you get 0.080500 sells 29 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 782.67 ₽ (you get 17 202.32)) · buy orders: 2211 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 101.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 655.65 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 14 805.15 ₽ listings: 87 on CS.Money: ~ 16 457.49 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 908.43 ₽ listings: 108
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