Crafts · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1717036 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +696.52₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 855.21₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 551.73₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +37.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 93%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 748.98₽ · profit at most −2 197.25₽ (at most -46.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Koi (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 277.06 → 598.45 ₽
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) × 9 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 1578.15 → 4150.53 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+696.52 ₽ +37.5% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1649
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+3 008.42 ₽ +127.0% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 18 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
  • 1× G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 491.64 ₽ +73.9% chance of profit 83%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 25%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 3× Nova | Smart Gun (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
  • 2× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 063.28 ₽ +83.0% chance of profit 77%
expensive: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) · 6 555.90 ₽ · chance 23%
rare inputs
  • 7× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 2× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 986.49 ₽ +78.2% chance of profit 77%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 7 174.07 ₽ · chance 15%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 18 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 1× XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 2× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 931.36 ₽ +75.8% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 17%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 18 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 5× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Nova | Koi
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0045
277.06 ₽
at 277.06
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004558f′ (normalized) 0.015195wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 183 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 612.18 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×9
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1649
1 578.15 ₽
at 175.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164978f′ (normalized) 0.164978wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 432 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 1 855.21 ₽ +696.52 (+37.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.045000, 0.150000, 0.105000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 93%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 7%
in profit
best
M4A4 | Hellish
Minimal Wear
3 083.93 ₽ 45.00%
Steam M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear)net 2681.68 you get 0.150000The Train 2025 Collection sells 54 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 867.76 ₽ (you get 2 493.70)) · buy orders: 1611
in profit
MP9 | Latte Rush
Minimal Wear
2 961.50 ₽ 45.00%
Steam MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear)net 2575.22 you get 0.150000The Train 2025 Collection sells 25 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 884.02 ₽ (you get 2 507.84)) · buy orders: 1571
in profit
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
2 252.12 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)net 1958.37 you get 0.045000 sells 153 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 295.93 ₽ (you get 1 996.46)) · buy orders: 11210
about break-even
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play
Minimal Wear
2 111.63 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)net 1836.20 you get 0.150000 sells 27 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 157.28 ₽ (you get 1 875.89)) · buy orders: 3713
about break-even
worst
Glock-18 | Water Elemental
Minimal Wear
2 057.66 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear)net 1789.27 you get 0.105000 sells ≈325 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 2 096.08 ₽ (you get 1 822.67)) · buy orders: 15366
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