The CS20 Collection
+ The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1717330 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+861.94₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».6 399.80₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.7 261.74₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+13.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.20%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 15 281.24₽
· profit at most −8 019.50₽
(at most -52.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) × 46% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.372797.80 → 6616.80 ₽
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) × 56% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.472852.00 → 7044.44 ₽
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) × 16% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16750.00 → 1620.00 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0036
2× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1621
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0081
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1626
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2 797.80 ₽
at 699.45
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162644f′ (normalized) 0.285341wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 81 · from 732.38 ₽ (float 0.1618) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1626
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2 852.00 ₽
at 570.40
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162644f′ (normalized) 0.162644wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 89 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 116 · from 607.32 ₽ (float 0.1621) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0743
(0% of this wear's listings)
750.00 ₽
at 750.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074398f′ (normalized) 0.074398wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 63) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs6 399.80 ₽
+861.94
(+13.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.202898451result 0.202898, 0.162319, 0.150000, 0.101449«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
11% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1762
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1 398.90 ₽
at 699.45
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.176298f′ (normalized) 0.309296wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 15 of 81 · from 567.91 ₽ (float 0.1713) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1762
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
4 563.20 ₽
at 570.40
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.176298f′ (normalized) 0.176298wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 89 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 116 · from 605.60 ₽ (float 0.1699) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs5 962.10 ₽
+594.09
(+10.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.202898451result 0.202898, 0.162319, 0.150000, 0.101449«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
8% of lots fitcollecting: no data
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1684
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
699.45 ₽
at 699.45
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168474f′ (normalized) 0.295568wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 81 · from 730.66 ₽ (float 0.1671) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 76 · from 535.36 ₽ (float 0.3848) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1684
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
4 563.20 ₽
at 570.40
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168474f′ (normalized) 0.168474wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 89 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 116 · from 607.32 ₽ (float 0.1621) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs5 825.63 ₽
+377.78
(+6.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.202898451result 0.202898, 0.162319, 0.150000, 0.101449«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1654
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2 098.35 ₽
at 699.45
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165453f′ (normalized) 0.290269wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 81 · from 732.38 ₽ (float 0.1618) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1654
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
3 992.80 ₽
at 570.40
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165453f′ (normalized) 0.165453wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 89 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 116 · from 607.32 ₽ (float 0.1621) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs6 091.15 ₽
+817.81
(+13.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.202898451result 0.202898, 0.162319, 0.150000, 0.101449«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −508 ₽
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1642
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
4 196.70 ₽
at 699.45
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164267f′ (normalized) 0.288188wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 81 · from 732.38 ₽ (float 0.1618) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0749
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 000.00 ₽
at 750.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074962f′ (normalized) 0.074962wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 63) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs7 196.70 ₽
+770.59
(+10.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.202898451result 0.150000, 0.101449, 0.202898, 0.162319«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish
Field-Tested
6 922.96 ₽30.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested)net 6019.97you get 0.202898The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 128 a weeksell now to a buy order: 5 831.15 ₽
(you get 5 070.56)) · buy orders: 1313
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 676.48 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 5 127.73 · lots 27
on CSFloat: from 4 477.35 ₽listings: 69
on CS.Money: ~ 5 000.72 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 4 615.26 ₽listings: 116
at a loss
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector
Field-Tested
6 533.51 ₽30.00%
SteamStatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested)net 5681.31you get 0.162319The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 161 a weeksell now to a buy order: 5 715.44 ₽
(you get 4 969.94)) · buy orders: 2190
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 650.03 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 5 098.72 · lots 48
on CSFloat: from 4 430.24 ₽listings: 115
on CS.Money: ~ 4 879.94 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 4 493.62 ₽listings: 137
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire
Minimal Wear
16 670.30 ₽20.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear)net 14495.91you get 0.150000sells ≈5 a week — 6 of 7 days measuredsell now to a buy order: 14 551.09 ₽
(you get 12 653.12)) · buy orders: 990
sell on Market.CSGO: 12 079.69 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 13 245.28 · lots 17
on CSFloat: from 11 382.25 ₽listings: 51
on CS.Money: ~ 12 562.62 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 11 780.56 ₽listings: 52
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Minimal Wear
4 900.00 ₽20.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear)net 4260.87you get 0.101449
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 715.21 ₽
(you get 4 100.18)) · buy orders: 740
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 816.26 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 4 184.50 · lots 19
on CSFloat: from 3 640.47 ₽listings: 31
on CS.Money: ~ 3 813.50 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 3 958.26 ₽listings: 49
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+151.75 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+624.01 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
