Crafts · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection + The Fracture Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1717426 · ways to build: 4 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +509.35₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 5 120.23₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 629.58₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +9.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 12 330.44₽ · profit at most −6 700.85₽ (at most -54.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 483.19 → 1043.69 ₽
XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear) × 4 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1588.04 → 3755.71 ₽
XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) × 5 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 3049.00 → 7531.03 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Fracture Collection
+509.35 ₽ +9.9% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) · 6 555.90 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0772
  • 4× XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0772
  • 5× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0063
Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+3 884.06 ₽ +60.3% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+3 099.50 ₽ +50.9% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
Variant 4 The Gallery Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+3 062.07 ₽ +57.6% chance of profit 75%
expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 12 264.92 ₽ · chance 25%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 19 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 5× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1655
Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+2 927.97 ₽ +55.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762
Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 788.81 ₽ +44.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 14 105.21 ₽ · chance 10%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
AUG | Death by Puppy
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0772
483.19 ₽
at 483.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077272f′ (normalized) 0.193181wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 72 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new ~0.5 per day, cheapest usually 768.22 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
×4
XM1014 | Entombed
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0772
1 588.04 ₽
at 397.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077272f′ (normalized) 0.154545wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 338 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0063
3 049.00 ₽
at 609.80
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006363f′ (normalized) 0.012727wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 344 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 999.00 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 5 120.23 ₽ +509.35 (+9.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.061250, 0.070000, 0.070375, 0.043750 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 50%
about break-even
worst
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis
Factory New
5 645.29 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)net 4908.95 you get 0.061250The Fracture Collection sells 106 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 647.55 ₽ (you get 4 910.91)) · buy orders: 4871 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 693.76 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 146.67 · lots 103 on CSFloat: from 4 150.14 ₽ listings: 223 on CS.Money: ~ 4 523.61 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 432.81 ₽ listings: 301
in profit
Desert Eagle | Printstream
Factory New
7 268.28 ₽ 45.00%
Steam Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)net 6320.24 you get 0.070000The Fracture Collection sells 82 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 574.37 ₽ (you get 6 586.40)) · buy orders: 3633 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 996.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 575.00 · lots 70 on CSFloat: from 5 644.01 ₽ listings: 365 on CS.Money: ~ 6 338.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 909.55 ₽ listings: 480
in profit
best
AWP | Wildfire
Minimal Wear
7 539.29 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear)net 6555.90 you get 0.070375 sells ≈72 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 6 767.30 ₽ (you get 5 884.60)) · buy orders: 2177 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 472.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 000.00 · lots 51 on CSFloat: from 5 065.82 ₽ listings: 291 on CS.Money: ~ 5 633.73 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 306.52 ₽ listings: 334
about break-even
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
5 718.97 ₽ 5.00%
Steam FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)net 4973.02 you get 0.043750 sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 638.94 ₽ (you get 4 903.42)) · buy orders: 4570 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 587.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 029.74 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 4 442.23 ₽ listings: 120 on CS.Money: ~ 4 765.16 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 554.44 ₽ listings: 136
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