Crafts · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1717756 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 394.73₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 10 105.58₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 11 500.31₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +13.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 25 717.49₽ · profit at most −14 217.18₽ (at most -55.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1199.90 → 2651.78 ₽
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 8905.68 → 23065.71 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection
+1 394.73 ₽ +13.8% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 13 205.51 ₽ · chance 80%
rare inputs
  • 2× P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+3 884.06 ₽ +60.3% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+3 099.50 ₽ +50.9% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+2 788.81 ₽ +44.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 14 105.21 ₽ · chance 10%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+2 391.02 ₽ +39.7% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 14 105.21 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
Variant 6 The Genesis Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+2 092.75 ₽ +35.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 45%
float out of reach rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
P90 | Nostalgia
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0740
1 199.90 ₽
at 599.95
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074010f′ (normalized) 0.129843wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 48 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×8
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1615
8 905.68 ₽
at 1 113.21
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161531f′ (normalized) 0.201913wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 208 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 982.86 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 10 105.58 ₽ +1 394.73 (+13.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.150000, 0.139375, 0.093750 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 80%
  • Losing outcome 20%
in profit
best
AK-47 | B the Monster
Minimal Wear
15 186.34 ₽ 80.00%
Steam AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear)net 13205.51 you get 0.150000The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 322.55 ₽ (you get 12 454.39)) · buy orders: 1244 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 864.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 008.91 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 10 851.17 ₽ listings: 278 on CS.Money: ~ 11 916.76 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 267.47 ₽ listings: 363
at a loss
AWP | Wildfire
Minimal Wear
7 539.29 ₽ 10.00%
Steam AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear)net 6555.90 you get 0.139375 sells ≈72 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 6 767.30 ₽ (you get 5 884.60)) · buy orders: 2177 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 472.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 000.00 · lots 51 on CSFloat: from 5 065.82 ₽ listings: 291 on CS.Money: ~ 5 633.73 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 306.52 ₽ listings: 334
at a loss
worst
FAMAS | Commemoration
Minimal Wear
3 223.56 ₽ 10.00%
Steam FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear)net 2803.10 you get 0.093750 sells 59 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 212.96 ₽ (you get 2 793.87)) · buy orders: 2155 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 693.23 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 953.11 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 2 489.22 ₽ listings: 98 on CS.Money: ~ 2 701.66 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 668.25 ₽ listings: 75
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