Crafts · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1717771 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 609.15₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 955.39₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 564.54₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +54.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 33%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 7 450.04₽ · profit at most −2 885.51₽ (at most -38.7%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M249 | Aztec (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 242.91 → 524.69 ₽
SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 232.48 → 502.16 ₽
FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 2480.00 → 6423.20 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection
+1 609.15 ₽ +54.4% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+2 422.56 ₽ +55.9% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+2 230.19 ₽ +43.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 3.3%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0761
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+2 179.30 ₽ +44.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+1 920.50 ₽ +66.0% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 6 only The Phoenix Collection
+1 909.54 ₽ +64.8% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
M249 | Aztec
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0041
242.91 ₽
at 242.91
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004191f′ (normalized) 0.005588wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 81 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 881.79 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 55) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
SG 553 | Pulse
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1637
232.48 ₽
at 232.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163772f′ (normalized) 0.127544wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 257 · good ≈ 17
on the market with this float, usually ~18, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 554.76 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 115 · from 1 258.32 ₽ (float 0.1523) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1637
2 480.00 ₽
at 310.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163772f′ (normalized) 0.070858wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 111 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 58 · from 504.53 ₽ (float 0.1595) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 2 955.39 ₽ +1 609.15 (+54.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.142000, 0.021000, 0.126900, 0.028000, 0.070000, 0.039900 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 33%
  • Losing outcome 67%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Redline
Minimal Wear
14 598.37 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)net 12694.23 you get 0.142000The Phoenix Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 045.24 ₽ (you get 12 213.25)) · buy orders: 2595 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 394.25 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 493.70 · lots 58 on CSFloat: from 10 543.66 ₽ listings: 357 on CS.Money: ~ 11 925.32 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 168.96 ₽ listings: 423
at a loss
Nova | Antique
Factory New
1 017.17 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Nova | Antique (Factory New)net 884.50 you get 0.021000The Phoenix Collection sells ≈30 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 011.70 ₽ (you get 879.73)) · buy orders: 1579 sell on Market.CSGO: 813.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 892.33 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 767.50 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 761.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 800.90 ₽ listings: 93
at a loss
P90 | Trigon
Minimal Wear
1 132.49 ₽ 30.00%
Steam P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)net 984.77 you get 0.126900The Phoenix Collection sells 17 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 963.98 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 057.00 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 927.68 ₽ listings: 104 on CS.Money: ~ 887.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 960.23 ₽ listings: 85
at a loss
worst
AUG | Death by Puppy
Factory New
828.48 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)net 720.42 you get 0.028000 sells 41 a week sell now to a buy order: 824.28 ₽ (you get 716.76)) · buy orders: 2568 sell on Market.CSGO: 674.70 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 739.81 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 600.46 ₽ listings: 100 on CS.Money: ~ 662.14 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 662.99 ₽ listings: 173
in profit
MP9 | Hydra
Factory New
4 987.11 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)net 4336.62 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 304.03 ₽ (you get 3 742.63)) · buy orders: 3314 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 630.51 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 980.83 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 3 429.75 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 3 750.11 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 539.39 ₽ listings: 96
at a loss
P90 | Nostalgia
Factory New
928.61 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New)net 807.49 you get 0.039900 sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 926.60 ₽ (you get 805.73)) · buy orders: 5252 sell on Market.CSGO: 724.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 794.00 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 712.68 ₽ listings: 73 on CS.Money: ~ 740.09 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 788.05 ₽ listings: 77
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