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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gallery Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +23.09$

Invest 108.75$

Average return 131.84$

ROI +21.2%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 267.75$ · profit at most −135.91$ (at most -50.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 15.28 → 33.00 $

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 10.60 → 23.43 $

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) × 7 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 82.87 → 211.31 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gallery Collection

+23.09 $ +21.2% chance of profit 100%

expensive: PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) · 148.38 $ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
2× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
7× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

+40.89 $ +62.6% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 143.18 $ · chance 25%

sells slowly

5× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
3× XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
2× R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2565

Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

+36.01 $ +45.2% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) · 145.62 $ · chance 5.0%

rare inputs

1× UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
1× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

+34.55 $ +40.7% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 143.18 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

5× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
1× P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
4× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

+34.32 $ +47.9% chance of profit 70%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 143.18 $ · chance 20%

sells slowly

4× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
6× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

+29.75 $ +34.3% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 143.18 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

4× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
2× P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
4× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

15.28 $

at 15.28

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

10.60 $

at 5.30

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

82.87 $

at 11.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 108.75 $ +23.09 (+21.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −65 $

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

76.40 $

at 15.28

Steam

×4

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

61.60 $

at 15.40

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

5.30 $

at 5.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 143.31 $ +2.01 (+1.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −49 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

30.56 $

at 15.28

Steam

×6

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

92.41 $

at 15.40

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

10.60 $

at 5.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 133.57 $ +10.06 (+7.5%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

30.80 $

at 15.40

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

5.30 $

at 5.30

Steam

×7

P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

75.69 $

at 10.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.80 $ +21.73 (+19.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −19 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

77.01 $

at 15.40

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

10.60 $

at 5.30

Steam

×3

P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

32.44 $

at 10.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120.05 $ +18.53 (+15.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

134.70 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Factory New

164.66 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

170.64 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Minimal Wear

167.46 $ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -2.66 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.92 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1730696 · The Gallery Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 23.66$ · invest 106.64$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163839 instead of 0.165827; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074813 instead of 0.075505
Craft 1728194 · The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 22.80$ · invest 100.43$
sells slowly float out of reach rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170543 instead of 0.165827; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077145 instead of 0.075505
Craft 1730654 · The Gallery Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 22.78$ · invest 99.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168765 instead of 0.165827; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076527 instead of 0.075505
Craft 1725882 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 22.70$ · invest 102.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170543 instead of 0.165827; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077145 instead of 0.075505
Craft 1724941 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 22.59$ · invest 105.87$
sells slowly float out of reach rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170543 instead of 0.165827; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077145 instead of 0.075505
Craft 1719302 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 21.99$ · invest 108.53$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168602 instead of 0.165827; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076470 instead of 0.075505
Craft 1729904 · The Gallery Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 21.38$ · invest 108.66$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166583 instead of 0.165827; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075768 instead of 0.075505

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gallery Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build