Crafts · The Chroma 3 Collection
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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1720656 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 309.63₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 416.34₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 725.97₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +52.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 10 762.70₽ · profit at most −4 036.73₽ (at most -37.5%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 329.15 → 710.96 ₽
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 415.44 → 982.52 ₽
AWP | PAW (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 3671.75 → 9069.22 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection
+2 309.63 ₽ +52.3% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection
+2 628.21 ₽ +155.1% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 6× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection
+2 510.39 ₽ +70.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 17%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection
+2 498.21 ₽ +59.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2188
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection
+2 479.91 ₽ +65.4% chance of profit 73%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 only The Horizon Collection
+2 464.21 ₽ +51.1% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
XM1014 | Black Tie
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
329.15 ₽
at 329.15
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004085f′ (normalized) 0.005447wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 183 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 054.73 ₽ · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 190 · from 4 330.87 ₽ (float 0.0008) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
Nova | Toy Soldier
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1634
415.44 ₽
at 103.86
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163423f′ (normalized) 0.163423wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 248 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 11 782.39 ₽
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 81) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
AWP | PAW
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
3 671.75 ₽
at 734.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004085f′ (normalized) 0.008171wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 487 · good ≈ 13
on the market with this float, usually ~14, new ~0.2 per day, cheapest usually 2 680.49 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 259 · from 2 680.24 ₽ (float 0.0023) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 4 416.34 ₽ +2 309.63 (+52.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.049000, 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.070000, 0.163000, 0.053900 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 70%
at a loss
FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
2 902.32 ₽ 30.00%
Steam FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)net 2523.76 you get 0.049000The Horizon Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 905.05 ₽ (you get 2 526.13)) · buy orders: 3860 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 342.91 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 568.99 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 2 221.97 ₽ listings: 80 on CS.Money: ~ 2 209.98 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 186.00 ₽ listings: 116
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Nightmare
Factory New
20 602.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)net 17915.19 you get 0.070000The Horizon Collection sells 8 a week sell now to a buy order: 24 566.74 ₽ (you get 21 362.38)) · buy orders: 2139 sell on Market.CSGO: 21 190.75 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 23 235.48 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 18 649.49 ₽ listings: 58 on CS.Money: ~ 20 373.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 20 521.12 ₽ listings: 76
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Factory New
1 631.06 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)net 1418.31 you get 0.056000The Horizon Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 810.16 ₽ (you get 1 574.05)) · buy orders: 2047 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 561.09 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 711.73 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 1 481.03 ₽ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 1 463.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 471.61 ₽ listings: 72
at a loss
AUG | Fleet Flock
Factory New
2 613.98 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New)net 2273.03 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 1 757.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 926.97 · lots 14 on CSFloat: from 1 638.64 ₽ listings: 38 on CS.Money: ~ 1 627.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 680.61 ₽ listings: 96
at a loss
worst
P250 | Asiimov
Field-Tested
1 295.25 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 1126.30 you get 0.163000 sells 290 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 262.24 ₽ (you get 1 097.60)) · buy orders: 38111 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 017.49 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 115.67 · lots 77 on CSFloat: from 975.65 ₽ listings: 431 on CS.Money: ~ 1 026.18 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 011.62 ₽ listings: 281
at a loss
UMP-45 | Primal Saber
Factory New
1 914.06 ₽ 3.33%
Steam UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)net 1664.40 you get 0.053900 sells 8 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 1 486.56 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 630.00 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 1 438.20 ₽ listings: 86 on CS.Money: ~ 1 403.08 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 368.82 ₽ listings: 58
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