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The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +277.03₴

Invest 270.81₴

Average return 547.84₴

ROI +102.3%

Chance of profit 98%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 680.22₴ · profit at most −132.37₴ (at most -19.5%) · chance of profit at most 20%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 68.12 → 147.14 ₴

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 202.69 → 533.08 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

+277.03 ₴ +102.3% chance of profit 98%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New) · 1 262.42 ₴ · chance 2.5%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+302.61 ₴ +102.4% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) · 2 060.15 ₴ · chance 2.5%

sells slowly

9× StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048

Variant 3 The Gamma Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+292.85 ₴ +126.8% chance of profit 98%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New) · 1 000.01 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

9× StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
1× StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+290.70 ₴ +107.2% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) · 1 360.85 ₴ · chance 2.5%

sells slowly

9× StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+289.11 ₴ +111.3% chance of profit 94%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) · 2 019.94 ₴ · chance 2.0%

rare inputs

9× StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
1× StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+285.75 ₴ +111.6% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New) · 1 000.01 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

9× StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

68.12 ₴

at 68.12

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

202.69 ₴

at 22.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 270.81 ₴ +277.03 (+102.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −252 ₴

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

232.29 ₴

at 46.46

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

204.36 ₴

at 68.12

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

45.04 ₴

at 22.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 481.69 ₴ +110.24 (+22.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −315 ₴

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

278.74 ₴

at 46.46

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

204.36 ₴

at 68.12

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

22.52 ₴

at 22.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 505.62 ₴ +92.60 (+18.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −42 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

139.37 ₴

at 46.46

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

136.24 ₴

at 68.12

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

112.61 ₴

at 22.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 388.22 ₴ +184.81 (+47.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 98%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 2%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

751.92 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

426.38 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

1 150.00 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

399.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

386.04 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga

Factory New

1 451.79 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Urban Shock

Factory New

394.17 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite

Factory New

632.72 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Serenity

Factory New

302.10 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +177.16 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +277.20 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1725641 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 302.61₴ · invest 295.61₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1725467 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 290.70₴ · invest 271.21₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New)
Craft 1725519 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 289.11₴ · invest 259.82₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New)
Craft 1725085 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 285.75₴ · invest 256.11₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1720314 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 284.41₴ · invest 253.21₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New)
Craft 1725261 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 283.85₴ · invest 266.18₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1725034 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 282.48₴ · invest 262.21₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1717273 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 278.58₴ · invest 240.42₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1725290 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 277.33₴ · invest 241.36₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1724919 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 276.34₴ · invest 270.32₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1725571 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 273.93₴ · invest 241.02₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build