Crafts · The Chroma Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1721417 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +410.36₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 697.89₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 108.24₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +58.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 695.41₴ · profit at most −587.17₴ (at most -34.6%) · chance of profit at most 27%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 388.17 → 918.03 ₴
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 309.71 → 777.38 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection
+410.35 ₴ +58.8% chance of profit 60%
expensive: M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) · 2 558.59 ₴ · chance 13%
sells slowly
  • 4× Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 6× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 217.84 ₴ +50.7% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Chroma Collection
+1 189.77 ₴ +78.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 4× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Chroma Collection
+1 145.55 ₴ +50.6% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 090.37 ₴ +40.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Chroma Collection
+958.36 ₴ +68.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Desert Eagle | Naga
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1636
388.17 ₴
at 97.04
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163681f′ (normalized) 0.163681wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 335 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×6
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1636
309.71 ₴
at 51.62
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163681f′ (normalized) 0.046434wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 218 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 346.86 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 697.89 ₴ +410.36 (+58.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.093333233 result 0.093333, 0.029867, 0.093333, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.056000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 60%
  • Losing outcome 40%
at a loss
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
431.15 ₴ 20.00%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)net 374.91 you get 0.093333The Falchion Collection sells 32 a week sell now to a buy order: 410.37 ₴ (you get 356.84)) · buy orders: 1955 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 323.17 ₴ listings: 33 on CS.Money: ~ 342.92 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 360.87 ₴ listings: 39
in profit
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
1 250.12 ₴ 20.00%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 1087.06 you get 0.029867The Falchion Collection sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 247.15 ₴ (you get 1 084.47)) · buy orders: 2273 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 041.60 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 142.11 · lots 43 on CSFloat: from 987.46 ₴ listings: 91 on CS.Money: ~ 1 027.40 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 984.76 ₴ listings: 112
at a loss
worst
SG 553 | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
412.96 ₴ 20.00%
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)net 359.10 you get 0.093333The Falchion Collection sells 56 a week sell now to a buy order: 389.33 ₴ (you get 338.54)) · buy orders: 4267 sell on Market.CSGO: 352.90 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 386.95 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 311.05 ₴ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 324.51 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 341.57 ₴ listings: 63
in profit
AK-47 | Cartel
Factory New
2 514.24 ₴ 13.33%
Steam AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New)net 2186.30 you get 0.070000 sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 466.23 ₴ (you get 2 144.55)) · buy orders: 3319 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 044.60 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 241.89 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 1 930.03 ₴ listings: 142 on CS.Money: ~ 2 098.79 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 939.45 ₴ listings: 267
in profit
best
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
Factory New
2 942.38 ₴ 13.33%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)net 2558.59 you get 0.070000
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 935.73 ₴ (you get 2 552.80)) · buy orders: 1956 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 218.77 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 432.87 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 2 147.26 ₴ listings: 174 on CS.Money: ~ 2 272.04 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 2 212.80 ₴ listings: 217
in profit
P250 | Muertos
Factory New
960.60 ₴ 13.33%
Steam P250 | Muertos (Factory New)net 835.30 you get 0.056000 sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 964.55 ₴ (you get 838.74)) · buy orders: 3021 sell on Market.CSGO: 778.71 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 853.85 · lots 44 on CSFloat: from 747.33 ₴ listings: 170 on CS.Money: ~ 822.73 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 816.45 ₴ listings: 203
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