The Chroma Collection
+ The Operation Broken Fang Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1721693 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+90 688.88₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».267 541.24₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.358 230.13₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+33.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.45%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 694 686.76₸
· profit at most −336 456.69₸
(at most -48.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) × 17% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1619035.52 → 41116.72 ₸
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) × 97% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.63248505.73 → 653570.06 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −217 327 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −217 327 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New), StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Well-Worn), StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0046
(0% of this wear's listings)
19 035.52 ₸
at 19 035.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004698f′ (normalized) 0.007830wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×9
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0753
(0% of this wear's listings)
248 505.73 ₸
at 27 611.75
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075369f′ (normalized) 0.076907wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs267 541.24 ₸
+90 688.88
(+33.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.107000, 0.385000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −214 330 ₸
!
14% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 15% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0101
(0% of this wear's listings)
38 071.03 ₸
at 19 035.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010153f′ (normalized) 0.016922wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×8
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0816
(0% of this wear's listings)
220 893.98 ₸
at 27 611.75
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.081603f′ (normalized) 0.083269wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs258 965.01 ₸
+66 904.06
(+25.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.107000, 0.385000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −198 874 ₸
!
11% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(0% of this wear's listings)
57 106.55 ₸
at 19 035.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007711f′ (normalized) 0.012852wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1753
(0% of this wear's listings)
15 152.47 ₸
at 15 152.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.175336f′ (normalized) 0.178915wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×6
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0788
(0% of this wear's listings)
165 670.48 ₸
at 27 611.75
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078812f′ (normalized) 0.080421wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs237 929.51 ₸
+55 578.51
(+23.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.107000, 0.385000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −183 418 ₸
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(0% of this wear's listings)
76 142.07 ₸
at 19 035.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005996f′ (normalized) 0.009994wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1697
(0% of this wear's listings)
30 304.95 ₸
at 15 152.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.169703f′ (normalized) 0.173166wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0768
(0% of this wear's listings)
110 446.99 ₸
at 27 611.75
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076853f′ (normalized) 0.078421wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs216 894.00 ₸
+44 252.96
(+20.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.107000, 0.385000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −167 962 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0047
(0% of this wear's listings)
95 177.58 ₸
at 19 035.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004726f′ (normalized) 0.007877wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×3
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1655
(0% of this wear's listings)
45 457.42 ₸
at 15 152.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165530f′ (normalized) 0.168909wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0754
(0% of this wear's listings)
55 223.49 ₸
at 27 611.75
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075402f′ (normalized) 0.076940wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs195 858.50 ₸
+32 927.42
(+16.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.107000, 0.385000, 0.070000, 0.056000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
Factory New
128 325.73 ₸45.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)net 111587.57you get 0.070000The Operation Broken Fang Collectionsells 1 a weeksell now to a buy order: 114 589.64 ₸
(you get 99 643.13)) · buy orders: 1715
sell on Market.CSGO: 103 836.46 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 113 855.81 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 97 081.21 ₸listings: 14
on CS.Money: ~ 106 614.00 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 106 243.53 ₸listings: 28
sell now to a buy order: 545 480.96 ₸
(you get 474 331.24)) · buy orders: 1968
sell on Market.CSGO: 432 968.21 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 474 745.86 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 421 237.85 ₸listings: 56
on CS.Money: ~ 488 008.26 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 442 661.87 ₸listings: 53
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
74 977.75 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear)net 65198.07you get 0.107000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 66 176.51 ₸
(you get 57 544.74)) · buy orders: 723
at a loss
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox
Well-Worn
79 077.89 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Well-Worn)net 68763.38you get 0.385000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 63 932.16 ₸
(you get 55 593.18)) · buy orders: 547
sell on Market.CSGO: 61 441.87 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 67 370.47 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 54 215.09 ₸listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 63 892.50 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 58 638.17 ₸listings: 19
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+76 519.61 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+87 641.41 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1737523
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 92 839.72₸
· invest 287 366.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −237 152 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075415 instead of 0.075369
profit on prices without salesat least −237 152 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075680 instead of 0.075369
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
