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The Chroma Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +6.65$

Invest 10.28$

Average return 16.92$

ROI +64.7%

Chance of profit 72%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 25.24$ · profit at most −8.32$ (at most -33.0%) · chance of profit at most 25%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1.04 → 2.24 $

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1.63 → 3.61 $

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 7 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 7.61 → 19.40 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −4 $

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Phoenix Collection

+6.65 $ +64.7% chance of profit 72%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New) · 28.13 $ · chance 2.5%

profit on prices without salesat least −4 $

1× StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
2× StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1639
7× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+6.17 $ +102.3% chance of profit 98%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New) · 28.13 $ · chance 2.5%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+94.48 $ +362.9% chance of profit 48%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 540.57 $ · chance 10%

profit on prices without salesat least −24 $

7× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
3× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+86.34 $ +197.5% chance of profit 36%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 581.95 $ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −38 $

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0846

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+85.52 $ +193.8% chance of profit 36%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 581.95 $ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −39 $

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0857

Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+66.31 $ +307.2% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 540.57 $ · chance 6.7%

profit on prices without salesat least −17 $

8× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
2× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.04 $

at 1.04

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

1.63 $

at 0.82

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

7.61 $

at 1.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.28 $ +6.65 (+64.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −7 $

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

4.14 $

at 1.04

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

3.04 $

at 1.52

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

4.35 $

at 1.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.52 $ +3.48 (+30.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −9 $

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

5.18 $

at 1.04

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

6.07 $

at 1.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1.09 $

at 1.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.33 $ +1.52 (+12.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −6 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

4.14 $

at 1.04

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1.52 $

at 1.52

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

5.43 $

at 1.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.09 $ +4.30 (+38.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 22%

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

20.48 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

31.16 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

16.27 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

11.70 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga

Factory New

32.35 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Urban Shock

Factory New

8.78 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite

Factory New

14.10 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Serenity

Factory New

6.73 $ 2.50%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.48 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.65 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1725260 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 7.04$ · invest 9.74$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074866
Craft 1739218 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 7.01$ · invest 9.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162162 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074230 instead of 0.074866
Craft 1734863 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.86$ · invest 9.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162162 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074230 instead of 0.074866
Craft 1731250 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.70$ · invest 9.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074866
Craft 1739015 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 6.66$ · invest 9.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074866
Craft 1736128 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.60$ · invest 9.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162131 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.074866
Craft 1717762 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.60$ · invest 9.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074866
Craft 1728543 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.60$ · invest 9.46$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074866
Craft 1722772 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.56$ · invest 9.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1729421 · The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.55$ · invest 9.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162162 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074230 instead of 0.074866
Craft 1739076 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 6.51$ · invest 9.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074866
Craft 1739101 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 6.49$ · invest 9.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163660 instead of 0.163991; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074751 instead of 0.074866

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Phoenix Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build