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The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +8 377.14₽

Invest 41 821.57₽

Average return 50 198.71₽

ROI +20.0%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 103 597.79₽ · profit at most −53 399.08₽ (at most -51.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 3609.06 → 7795.57 ₽

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) × 8 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 30844.64 → 79887.62 ₽

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 7367.87 → 15914.60 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −41 822 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection

+8 377.14 ₽ +20.0% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) · 65 783.64 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −41 822 ₽

1× StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
8× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
1× StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+34 665.69 ₽ +138.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+32 386.57 ₽ +126.5% chance of profit 95%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0050
9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0757

Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+22 191.70 ₽ +52.5% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0088
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0800
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0088

Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+21 586.16 ₽ +48.4% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+8 223.06 ₽ +62.8% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 36 575.01 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

3 609.06 ₽

at 3 609.06

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

30 844.64 ₽

at 3 855.58

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

7 367.87 ₽

at 7 367.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41 821.57 ₽ +8 377.14 (+20.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −35 343 ₽

12% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

14 436.24 ₽

at 3 609.06

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1784

1 628.44 ₽

at 1 628.44

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0799

19 277.90 ₽

at 3 855.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35 342.58 ₽ +2 356.32 (+6.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −32 869 ₽

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

18 045.30 ₽

at 3 609.06

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1725

3 256.88 ₽

at 1 628.44

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

11 566.74 ₽

at 3 855.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32 868.92 ₽ +663.38 (+2.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −35 589 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

10 827.18 ₽

at 3 609.06

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

1 628.44 ₽

at 1 628.44

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

23 133.48 ₽

at 3 855.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35 589.10 ₽ +6 276.40 (+17.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

49 389.02 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

75 651.19 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

14 215.49 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox

Well-Worn

14 992.86 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 352.27 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 435.36 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1713048 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 8 595.93₽ · invest 43 714.41₽
profit on prices without salesat least −43 714 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075315 instead of 0.076639; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.004651 instead of 0.005809
Craft 1730594 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 8 072.08₽ · invest 42 986.93₽
profit on prices without salesat least −41 721 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076852 instead of 0.076639; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.005996 instead of 0.005809

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build