Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection
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The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1723838 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +506.45₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 376.70₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 883.15₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +134.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 38%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 977.71₽ · profit at most −94.57₽ (at most -9.7%) · chance of profit at most 18%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 27.68 → 59.79 ₽
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 9 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 349.02 → 917.92 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection
+506.45 ₽ +134.4% chance of profit 38%
expensive: Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New) · 3 392.68 ₽ · chance 18%
rare inputs
  • 1× Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 9× Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
Variant 2 only The Gamma 2 Collection
+2 455.01 ₽ +342.8% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 10× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection
+2 264.35 ₽ +271.8% chance of profit 41%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 1× G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection
+2 237.17 ₽ +320.6% chance of profit 41%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection
+2 234.58 ₽ +314.3% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection
+2 221.04 ₽ +304.3% chance of profit 44%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Tec-9 | Fubar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1635
27.68 ₽
at 27.68
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163596f′ (normalized) 0.027437wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 826 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×9
Five-SeveN | Scumbria
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0747
349.02 ₽
at 38.78
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074729f′ (normalized) 0.074729wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 133 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 376.70 ₽ +506.45 (+134.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.125800, 0.070000, 0.030800, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.045500, 0.035000, 0.063000, 0.028000, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 10 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 38%
  • Losing outcome 44%
  • About break-even 18%
in profit
Desert Eagle | Directive
Minimal Wear
663.84 ₽ 18.00%
Steam Desert Eagle | Directive (Minimal Wear)net 577.25 you get 0.125800The Gamma 2 Collection sells 87 a week sell now to a buy order: 665.54 ₽ (you get 578.73)) · buy orders: 17188
in profit
best
Glock-18 | Weasel
Factory New
3 901.58 ₽ 18.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New)net 3392.68 you get 0.070000The Gamma 2 Collection sells ≈98 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders
at a loss
worst
MAG-7 | Petroglyph
Factory New
138.60 ₽ 18.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New)net 120.52 you get 0.030800The Gamma 2 Collection sells 75 a week sell now to a buy order: 217.07 ₽ (you get 188.75)) · buy orders: 6607
at a loss
SCAR-20 | Powercore
Factory New
370.01 ₽ 18.00%
Steam SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New)net 321.75 you get 0.070000The Gamma 2 Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 327.03 ₽ (you get 284.37)) · buy orders: 4679
about break-even
SG 553 | Triarch
Factory New
414.51 ₽ 18.00%
Steam SG 553 | Triarch (Factory New)net 360.44 you get 0.070000The Gamma 2 Collection sells 18 a week no buy orders
at a loss
G3SG1 | Scavenger
Factory New
186.19 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New)net 161.90 you get 0.045500
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 183.60 ₽ (you get 159.65)) · buy orders: 6600
at a loss
Galil AR | Signal
Factory New
209.03 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)net 181.77 you get 0.035000 sells 140 a week sell now to a buy order: 208.46 ₽ (you get 181.26)) · buy orders: 15324
in profit
MAC-10 | Pipe Down
Factory New
501.67 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Factory New)net 436.23 you get 0.063000 sells 19 a week sell now to a buy order: 500.11 ₽ (you get 434.87)) · buy orders: 8529
at a loss
P250 | Nevermore
Factory New
205.27 ₽ 2.00%
Steam P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)net 178.50 you get 0.028000 sells 224 a week sell now to a buy order: 200.81 ₽ (you get 174.61)) · buy orders: 16561
at a loss
USP-S | Flashback
Factory New
281.84 ₽ 2.00%
Steam USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)net 245.08 you get 0.035000 sells 196 a week sell now to a buy order: 276.35 ₽ (you get 240.30)) · buy orders: 23748
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