Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Danger Zone Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1724206 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +15.08$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 117.58$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 132.65$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +12.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 298.67$ · profit at most −166.02$ (at most -55.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 5.98 → 12.92 $
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 7.63 → 16.48 $
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 103.97 → 269.28 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection
+15.08 $ +12.8% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 154.17 $ · chance 80%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 1× MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+39.82 $ +53.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 165.85 $ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 10 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+36.09 $ +50.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 116.70 $ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+24.34 $ +35.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 113.52 $ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+23.30 $ +23.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 143.18 $ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 10 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 3× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1654
  • 6× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+22.70 $ +29.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 118.83 $ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
  • 1× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Momentum
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0746
5.98 $
at 5.98
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074609f′ (normalized) 0.149218wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 136 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 6.99 $ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 50) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
MP5-SD | Phosphor
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0746
7.63 $
at 7.63
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074609f′ (normalized) 0.093261wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 67 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~1.0 per day, cheapest usually 14.18 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 38 · from 24.65 $ (float 0.0704) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1632
103.97 $
at 13.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163251f′ (normalized) 0.204064wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 208 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 19.03 $ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 12 of 279 · from 18.49 $ (float 0.1544) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 117.58 $ +15.08 (+12.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.150000, 0.171875, 0.093750 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 80%
  • Losing outcome 20%
in profit
best
AK-47 | B the Monster
Minimal Wear
177.29 $ 80.00%
Steam AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear)net 154.17 you get 0.150000The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 167.21 $ (you get 145.40)) · buy orders: 1244 sell on Market.CSGO: 138.51 $ to your card cheapest lot 151.87 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 126.68 $ listings: 278 on CS.Money: ~ 139.12 $ on Lis-Skins: from 131.54 $ listings: 363
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Asiimov
Field-Tested
52.21 $ 10.00%
Steam AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 45.40 you get 0.171875 sells 413 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 38.25 $ to your card cheapest lot 41.95 · lots 228 on CSFloat: from 37.62 $ listings: 632 on CS.Money: ~ 39.82 $ on Lis-Skins: from 38.27 $ listings: 736
at a loss
AWP | Neo-Noir
Minimal Wear
54.99 $ 10.00%
Steam AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)net 47.81 you get 0.093750 sells ≈189 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 50.22 $ (you get 43.67)) · buy orders: 2464 sell on Market.CSGO: 42.38 $ to your card cheapest lot 46.46 · lots 65 on CSFloat: from 39.55 $ listings: 225 on CS.Money: ~ 42.18 $ on Lis-Skins: from 40.28 $ listings: 217
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