Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection
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The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1724638 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 593.46₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 064.02₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 657.48₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +174.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 415.36₽ · profit at most +242.12₽ (at most +4.5%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 27.68 → 59.79 ₽
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2036.34 → 5355.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 549 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 549 ₽: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New), G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+3 593.46 ₽ +174.1% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 549 ₽
  • 1× Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1696
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 205.90 ₽ +328.1% chance of profit 36%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly
  • 1× Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+637.82 ₽ +93.9% chance of profit 24%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 5× MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+497.53 ₽ +65.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
Variant 5 The Mirage Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+30 398.08 ₽ +154.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 616 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+6 685.03 ₽ +77.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 579 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1685
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Tec-9 | Fubar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1696
27.68 ₽
at 27.68
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.169610f′ (normalized) 0.034431wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 826 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 100) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0059
2 036.34 ₽
at 226.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005968f′ (normalized) 0.007994wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 32
on the market with this float, usually ~17, new ~1.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 498.16 ₽ · among lots up to 3 300.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 13 of 235 · from 1 227.48 ₽ (float 0.0034) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 2 064.02 ₽ +3 593.46 (+174.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.006915, 0.005319, 0.009574, 0.004255, 0.005319 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 70%
at a loss
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
725.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 630.77 you get 0.007447The Train 2025 Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86)) · buy orders: 1828 sell on Market.CSGO: 579.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 634.91 · lots 72 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 582.48 ₽ listings: 384 on CS.Money: ~ 574.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 550.78 ₽ listings: 620
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 168.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 1016.06 you get 0.010638The Train 2025 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67)) · buy orders: 1772 sell on Market.CSGO: 827.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 907.05 · lots 90 on CSFloat: from 853.15 ₽ listings: 284 on CS.Money: ~ 943.95 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 842.02 ₽ listings: 356
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
19 700.88 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 17131.20 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 14 721.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 141.76 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 13 421.77 ₽ listings: 207 on CS.Money: ~ 14 491.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 700.16 ₽ listings: 118
at a loss
worst
G3SG1 | Scavenger
Factory New
186.19 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New)net 161.90 you get 0.006915
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 183.60 ₽ (you get 159.65)) · buy orders: 6600 sell on Market.CSGO: 167.21 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 183.35 · lots 33 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 153.33 ₽ listings: 112 on CS.Money: ~ 152.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 152.47 ₽ listings: 68
at a loss
Galil AR | Signal
Factory New
209.03 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)net 181.77 you get 0.005319 sells 140 a week sell now to a buy order: 208.46 ₽ (you get 181.26)) · buy orders: 15324 sell on Market.CSGO: 158.73 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 174.05 · lots 123 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 148.19 ₽ listings: 207 on CS.Money: ~ 152.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 152.47 ₽ listings: 406
at a loss
MAC-10 | Pipe Down
Factory New
501.67 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Factory New)net 436.23 you get 0.009574 sells 19 a week sell now to a buy order: 500.11 ₽ (you get 434.87)) · buy orders: 8529 sell on Market.CSGO: 410.08 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 449.65 · lots 53 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 429.15 ₽ listings: 107 on CS.Money: ~ 400.88 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 399.17 ₽ listings: 118
at a loss
P250 | Nevermore
Factory New
205.27 ₽ 2.00%
Steam P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)net 178.50 you get 0.004255 sells 224 a week sell now to a buy order: 200.81 ₽ (you get 174.61)) · buy orders: 16561 sell on Market.CSGO: 159.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 175.39 · lots 129 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 182.45 ₽ listings: 288 on CS.Money: ~ 144.76 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 154.18 ₽ listings: 421
at a loss
USP-S | Flashback
Factory New
281.84 ₽ 2.00%
Steam USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)net 245.08 you get 0.005319 sells 196 a week sell now to a buy order: 276.35 ₽ (you get 240.30)) · buy orders: 23748 sell on Market.CSGO: 221.18 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 242.53 · lots 141 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 219.28 ₽ listings: 206 on CS.Money: ~ 219.28 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 229.56 ₽ listings: 271
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