Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection
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The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1724649 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit · by float Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −7 289.81₽ by average prices it would be +3 308.58
Invest InvestBy market listings with the right float (nightly check). 14 113.83₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 824.02₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −51.6% market check 2026-10-06 05:09
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 8 922.97₽ · profit at most −1 816.71₽ (at most -20.4%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 186.19 → 402.17 ₽
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) × 6 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 1435.32 → 3602.65 ₽
MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) × 3 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 2176.17 → 4918.14 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 309 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 309 ₽: M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+3 308.58 ₽ +87.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) · 10 260.87 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 309 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 6× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1653
  • 3× MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 426.06 ₽ +56.8% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 182.81 ₽ +45.3% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 767.69 ₽ +64.4% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1652
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1652
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 568.59 ₽ +43.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 281.47 ₽ +68.5% chance of profit 63%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 6 788.25 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
G3SG1 | Scavenger
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
186.19 ₽
at 186.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004684f′ (normalized) 0.007206wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 105 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new ~0.5 per day, cheapest usually 2 789.70 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
×6
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1653
1 435.32 ₽
at 239.22
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165392f′ (normalized) 0.112119wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 103 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 590.00 ₽
×3
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
2 176.17 ₽
at 725.39
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004684f′ (normalized) 0.006692wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 225 · good ≈ 10
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 2 153.61 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 3 797.68 ₽ +3 308.58 (+87.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.042000, 0.056000, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
M4A4 | Hellish
Factory New
11 800.00 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New)net 10260.87 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 102.89 ₽ (you get 9 654.68)) · buy orders: 1503 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 901.14 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 760.03 · lots 50 on CSFloat: from 8 365.37 ₽ listings: 208 on CS.Money: ~ 8 987.25 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 820.22 ₽ listings: 261
in profit
MP9 | Latte Rush
Factory New
5 996.86 ₽ 45.00%
Steam MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New)net 5214.66 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 103.45 ₽ (you get 4 437.78)) · buy orders: 1542 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 121.30 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 518.98 · lots 33 on CSFloat: from 4 049.06 ₽ listings: 227 on CS.Money: ~ 4 394.26 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 119.30 ₽ listings: 274
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries
Factory New
2 505.69 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)net 2178.86 you get 0.042000 sells 146 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 489.09 ₽ (you get 2 164.42)) · buy orders: 10786 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 987.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 179.26 · lots 74 on CSFloat: from 1 935.87 ₽ listings: 183 on CS.Money: ~ 2 102.91 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 006.11 ₽ listings: 233
at a loss
MP5-SD | Phosphor
Factory New
1 376.24 ₽ 3.33%
Steam MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New)net 1196.73 you get 0.056000 sells 39 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 244.07 ₽ (you get 1 081.80)) · buy orders: 3759 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 092.76 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 198.21 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 985.92 ₽ listings: 102 on CS.Money: ~ 996.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 029.61 ₽ listings: 77
at a loss
worst
UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
1 026.27 ₽ 3.33%
Steam UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New)net 892.41 you get 0.035000 sells 84 a week sell now to a buy order: 954.33 ₽ (you get 829.85)) · buy orders: 5840 sell on Market.CSGO: 799.45 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 876.60 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 770.07 ₽ listings: 77 on CS.Money: ~ 751.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 776.92 ₽ listings: 103
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