Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection
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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1724873 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 143.35₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 5 652.74₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 8 796.09₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +55.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 14 187.63₽ · profit at most −5 391.54₽ (at most -38.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) × 8 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4460.72 → 11553.26 ₽
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) × 2 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1192.02 → 2634.36 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection
+3 143.35 ₽ +55.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 40%
float out of reach
  • 8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 2 The Gamma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+4 211.79 ₽ +62.1% chance of profit 55%
expensive: M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) · 20 949.72 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+4 051.39 ₽ +66.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+3 953.64 ₽ +66.2% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 19 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+3 868.70 ₽ +60.6% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+3 833.09 ₽ +61.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8
P90 | Deathgaze
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1683
4 460.72 ₽
at 557.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168399f′ (normalized) 0.168399wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 281 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.24 per day, cheapest usually 1 191.47 ₽
×2
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0763
1 192.02 ₽
at 596.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076399f′ (normalized) 0.076399wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 213 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 10 pcs 5 652.74 ₽ +3 143.35 (+55.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 all outcomes come out at 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 80%
  • Losing outcome 10%
  • About break-even 10%
in profit
best
AWP | Queen's Gambit
Minimal Wear
11 495.90 ₽ 40.00%
Steam AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)net 9996.43 you get 0.150000 sells ≈71 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 502.37 ₽ (you get 9 132.49)) · buy orders: 1001
in profit
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Minimal Wear
10 792.87 ₽ 40.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)net 9385.10 you get 0.150000 sells ≈40 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 508.11 ₽ (you get 9 137.48)) · buy orders: 3022
about break-even
AWP | Printstream
Minimal Wear
6 767.91 ₽ 10.00%
Steam AWP | Printstream (Minimal Wear)net 5885.14 you get 0.150000The Fever Collection sells 220 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 522.51 ₽ (you get 5 671.74)) · buy orders: 2679
at a loss
worst
FAMAS | Bad Trip
Minimal Wear
5 232.06 ₽ 10.00%
Steam FAMAS | Bad Trip (Minimal Wear)net 4549.62 you get 0.150000The Fever Collection sells 192 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 831.88 ₽ (you get 4 201.63)) · buy orders: 3019
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