StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1724878 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+606.48₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».5 121.74₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.5 728.22₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+11.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.85%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 12 208.94₽
· profit at most −6 480.72₽
(at most -53.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred) × 67% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.512760.00 → 6927.60 ₽
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn) × 17% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16561.89 → 1213.68 ₽
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) × 37% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.261799.85 → 4067.66 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0059
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
7% of lots fitcollecting: no data
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4865
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 760.00 ₽
at 460.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.486576f′ (normalized) 0.486576wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 56) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 58) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 799.85 ₽
at 599.95
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165295f′ (normalized) 0.165295wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 53 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 74) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs5 121.74 ₽
+606.48
(+11.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.379999900all outcomes come out at 0.380000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
12% of lots fitcollecting: no data
Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5151
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 300.00 ₽
at 460.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.515165f′ (normalized) 0.515165wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 56 · from 446.28 ₽ (float 0.4899) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 33 · from 564.49 ₽ (float 0.4651) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1772
(1% of this wear's listings)
2 399.80 ₽
at 599.95
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.177251f′ (normalized) 0.177251wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 53 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 2 199.51 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 74) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs5 203.20 ₽
+466.20
(+9.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.379999900all outcomes come out at 0.380000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
12% of lots fitcollecting: no data
Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5151
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 840.00 ₽
at 460.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.515165f′ (normalized) 0.515165wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 56 · from 446.28 ₽ (float 0.4899) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 33 · from 564.49 ₽ (float 0.4651) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1772
(1% of this wear's listings)
2 399.80 ₽
at 599.95
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.177251f′ (normalized) 0.177251wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 53 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 2 199.51 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 74) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs5 246.60 ₽
+393.39
(+7.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.379999900all outcomes come out at 0.380000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
12% of lots fitcollecting: no data
Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5151
(0% of this wear's listings)
920.00 ₽
at 460.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.515165f′ (normalized) 0.515165wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 56 · from 446.28 ₽ (float 0.4899) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 33 · from 564.49 ₽ (float 0.4651) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1772
(1% of this wear's listings)
2 399.80 ₽
at 599.95
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.177251f′ (normalized) 0.177251wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 53 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 2 199.51 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 74) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs5 333.40 ₽
+247.77
(+4.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.379999900all outcomes come out at 0.380000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
12% of lots fitcollecting: no data
Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5151
(0% of this wear's listings)
460.00 ₽
at 460.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.515165f′ (normalized) 0.515165wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 56 · from 446.28 ₽ (float 0.4899) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 33 · from 564.49 ₽ (float 0.4651) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1772
(1% of this wear's listings)
2 399.80 ₽
at 599.95
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.177251f′ (normalized) 0.177251wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 53 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 2 199.51 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 74) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs5 376.80 ₽
+174.96
(+3.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.379999900all outcomes come out at 0.380000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 85%
Losing outcome 15%
in profit
StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit
Field-Tested
6 914.44 ₽35.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested)net 6012.56you get 0.380000sells 26 a weeksell now to a buy order: 6 205.03 ₽
(you get 5 395.67)) · buy orders: 434
in profit
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Field-Tested
6 463.39 ₽35.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested)net 5620.34you get 0.380000sells 30 a weeksell now to a buy order: 5 633.20 ₽
(you get 4 898.43)) · buy orders: 512
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 021.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 5 506.57 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 4 433.66 ₽listings: 47
on CS.Money: ~ 5 079.53 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 4 760.88 ₽listings: 65
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream
Field-Tested
7 881.12 ₽15.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Field-Tested)net 6853.15you get 0.380000The Fever Collectionsells 46 a weeksell now to a buy order: 7 348.70 ₽
(you get 6 390.17)) · buy orders: 1559
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 382.69 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 6 998.57 · lots 37
on CSFloat: from 5 763.93 ₽listings: 138
on CS.Money: ~ 6 235.91 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 5 909.55 ₽listings: 91
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip
Field-Tested
4 820.29 ₽15.00%
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Field-Tested)net 4191.56you get 0.380000The Fever Collectionsells 62 a weeksell now to a buy order: 4 304.99 ₽
(you get 3 743.46)) · buy orders: 1633
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 852.72 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 4 224.48 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 3 406.62 ₽listings: 34
on CS.Money: ~ 3 680.73 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 3 470.87 ₽listings: 52
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+18.41 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+623.12 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
2 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1724977
· The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 801.69₽
· invest 6 669.88₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 184 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493258 instead of 0.486576
Craft 1724811
· The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 795.94₽
· invest 5 034.18₽
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
