Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection
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The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1725099 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 958.86₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 310.53₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 9 269.39₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +46.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 15 548.85₽ · profit at most −6 279.47₽ (at most -40.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4460.72 → 11553.26 ₽
P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1061.70 → 2293.27 ₽
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 788.11 → 1702.32 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection
+2 958.86 ₽ +46.9% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1662
  • 1× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0756
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0756
Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+3 684.66 ₽ +65.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
float out of reach
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 1× XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+3 585.47 ₽ +60.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 1× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+3 548.31 ₽ +58.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1649
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 5 The Fracture Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+3 476.39 ₽ +61.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+3 385.72 ₽ +59.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8
P90 | Deathgaze
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1662
4 460.72 ₽
at 557.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166225f′ (normalized) 0.166225wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 281 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.24 per day, cheapest usually 1 191.47 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 100 · from 962.80 ₽ (float 0.1627) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
P250 | Kintsugi
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0756
1 061.70 ₽
at 1 061.70
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075643f′ (normalized) 0.075643wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 279 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 153) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0756
788.11 ₽
at 788.11
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075643f′ (normalized) 0.094554wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 26 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 505.16 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 80 · from 1 314.00 ₽ (float 0.0736) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 6 310.53 ₽ +2 958.86 (+46.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.120000, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 5%
  • About break-even 5%
in profit
best
AWP | Queen's Gambit
Minimal Wear
11 495.90 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)net 9996.43 you get 0.150000 sells ≈71 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 502.37 ₽ (you get 9 132.49)) · buy orders: 1001
in profit
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Minimal Wear
10 792.87 ₽ 45.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)net 9385.10 you get 0.150000 sells ≈40 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 508.11 ₽ (you get 9 137.48)) · buy orders: 3022 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 934.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 700.00 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 7 709.23 ₽ listings: 85 on CS.Money: ~ 8 778.24 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 983.34 ₽ listings: 96
about break-even
AK-47 | Neon Rider
Minimal Wear
7 585.59 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)net 6596.17 you get 0.120000The Horizon Collection sells 66 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 852.41 ₽ (you get 5 958.61)) · buy orders: 1691 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 549.52 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 085.00 · lots 44 on CSFloat: from 5 168.61 ₽ listings: 242 on CS.Money: ~ 5 801.62 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 418.73 ₽ listings: 468
at a loss
worst
Desert Eagle | Code Red
Minimal Wear
5 011.38 ₽ 5.00%
Steam Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear)net 4357.72 you get 0.150000The Horizon Collection sells 35 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 577.74 ₽ (you get 4 850.20)) · buy orders: 2013 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 510.29 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 945.50 · lots 37 on CSFloat: from 4 079.04 ₽ listings: 102 on CS.Money: ~ 4 638.39 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 354.86 ₽ listings: 164
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