Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1725848 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +499.24₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 043.65₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 542.89₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +8.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 14 686.48₽ · profit at most −8 143.59₽ (at most -55.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 3992.80 → 10181.64 ₽
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1500.00 → 3315.00 ₽
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 550.85 → 1189.84 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection
+499.24 ₽ +8.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) · 8 760.63 ₽ · chance 5.0%
  • 7× StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1621
  • 2× StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 1× StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1621
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+33 883.63 ₽ +157.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 7× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+33 449.78 ₽ +152.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+22 203.38 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0085
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0797
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0085
Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+21 526.71 ₽ +53.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+9 941.72 ₽ +88.7% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 36 575.01 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1621
3 992.80 ₽
at 570.40
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162182f′ (normalized) 0.162182wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 89 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0742
1 500.00 ₽
at 750.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074237f′ (normalized) 0.074237wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1621
550.85 ₽
at 550.85
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162182f′ (normalized) 0.216243wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 142 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 6 043.65 ₽ +499.24 (+8.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.120000, 0.105000, 0.120000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 5%
  • About break-even 45%
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish
Minimal Wear
8 182.68 ₽ 45.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear)net 7115.37 you get 0.150000 sells 80 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 913.61 ₽ (you get 6 011.83)) · buy orders: 1670
about break-even
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector
Minimal Wear
6 926.07 ₽ 45.00%
Steam StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)net 6022.67 you get 0.120000 sells 94 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 814.16 ₽ (you get 5 925.35)) · buy orders: 1844
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis
Minimal Wear
4 432.98 ₽ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear)net 3854.77 you get 0.105000The Fracture Collection sells 53 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 219.88 ₽ (you get 3 669.46)) · buy orders: 3263
in profit
best
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream
Minimal Wear
10 074.72 ₽ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)net 8760.63 you get 0.120000The Fracture Collection sells ≈28 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders
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