Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1726281 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 068.05₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 7 831.70₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 8 899.75₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +13.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 20 119.30₽ · profit at most −11 219.56₽ (at most -55.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) × 9 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 6814.53 → 17922.21 ₽
Nova | Antique (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1017.17 → 2197.09 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection
+1 068.05 ₽ +13.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 9 950.36 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 9× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+3 179.47 ₽ +44.9% chance of profit 55%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 10 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+2 758.09 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+2 375.66 ₽ +39.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 9 950.36 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+2 230.96 ₽ +38.7% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 40%
  • 2× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 8× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+2 174.47 ₽ +35.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) · 9 595.17 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly
  • 1× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
6 814.53 ₽
at 757.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075874f′ (normalized) 0.075874wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 286 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 486 · from 1 227.48 ₽ (float 0.0754) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Nova | Antique
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0051
1 017.17 ₽
at 1 017.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005139f′ (normalized) 0.017132wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 60 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 6 296.43 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 93 · from 3 300.41 ₽ (float 0.0018) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 7 831.70 ₽ +1 068.05 (+13.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.035000, 0.237400 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 50%
in profit
AK-47 | Nightwish
Factory New
11 034.45 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New)net 9595.17 you get 0.070000 sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 12 023.75 ₽ (you get 10 455.43)) · buy orders: 2476 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 477.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 391.97 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 8 701.15 ₽ listings: 121 on CS.Money: ~ 9 646.82 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 408.69 ₽ listings: 158
about break-even
MP9 | Starlight Protector
Factory New
9 450.51 ₽ 45.00%
Steam MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New)net 8217.83 you get 0.056000 sells 61 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 461.03 ₽ (you get 8 226.98)) · buy orders: 3165 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 683.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 425.02 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 7 409.43 ₽ listings: 92 on CS.Money: ~ 8 381.65 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 666.40 ₽ listings: 99
about break-even
worst
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
8 886.60 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AUG | Chameleon (Factory New)net 7727.48 you get 0.035000The Phoenix Collection sells 53 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 821.30 ₽ (you get 7 670.69)) · buy orders: 4230 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 582.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 314.00 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 7 670.68 ₽ listings: 96 on CS.Money: ~ 7 594.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 380.30 ₽ listings: 69
in profit
best
AWP | Asiimov
Field-Tested
11 442.91 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 9950.36 you get 0.237400The Phoenix Collection sells 88 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 151.66 ₽ (you get 9 697.09)) · buy orders: 6658 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 572.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 400.00 · lots 97 on CSFloat: from 8 291.71 ₽ listings: 783 on CS.Money: ~ 9 238.23 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 016.37 ₽ listings: 735
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