to all crafts

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +722.37₽

Invest 1 093.43₽

Average return 1 815.80₽

ROI +66.1%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 598.23₽ · profit at most −782.44₽ (at most -30.1%) · chance of profit at most 17%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 640.00 → 1580.80 ₽

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 146.38 → 323.50 ₽

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 307.05 → 693.93 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

+722.37 ₽ +66.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) · 2 984.23 ₽ · chance 17%

sells slowly

5× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
2× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
3× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+1 317.52 ₽ +90.0% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) · 3 369.09 ₽ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
7× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
2× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+1 002.42 ₽ +72.5% chance of profit 73%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) · 3 576.50 ₽ · chance 27%

sells slowly

2× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
2× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
6× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

Variant 4 only The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

+665.01 ₽ +75.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) · 1 610.50 ₽ · chance 33%

sells slowly

9× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+658.43 ₽ +73.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Factory New) · 1 701.37 ₽ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

7× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
2× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
1× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628

Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+623.96 ₽ +69.5% chance of profit 97%

expensive: StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) · 1 875.84 ₽ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

7× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
2× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
1× StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

640.00 ₽

at 128.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

146.38 ₽

at 73.19

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

307.05 ₽

at 102.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 093.43 ₽ +722.37 (+66.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −5 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

83.11 ₽

at 83.11

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

511.75 ₽

at 102.35

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

743.04 ₽

at 185.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 337.90 ₽ +697.73 (+52.1%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

83.11 ₽

at 83.11

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

128.00 ₽

at 128.00

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

511.75 ₽

at 102.35

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

557.28 ₽

at 185.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 280.14 ₽ +700.54 (+54.7%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

498.66 ₽

at 83.11

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

256.00 ₽

at 128.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

204.70 ₽

at 102.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 959.36 ₽ +691.56 (+72.1%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

249.33 ₽

at 83.11

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

512.00 ₽

at 128.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

146.38 ₽

at 73.19

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

102.35 ₽

at 102.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 010.06 ₽ +695.82 (+68.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 83%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 17%

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Factory New

1 728.87 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Factory New

1 852.07 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

1 735.51 ₽ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

3 431.86 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

1 280.69 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

2 500.00 ₽ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +439.90 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +658.11 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build