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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +436.81₴

Invest 597.75₴

Average return 1 034.56₴

ROI +73.1%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 463.83₴ · profit at most −429.27₴ (at most -29.3%) · chance of profit at most 13%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 345.84 → 868.05 ₴

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 251.92 → 595.78 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

+436.81 ₴ +73.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) · 1 731.72 ₴ · chance 13%

sells slowly

6× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+1 427.81 ₴ +253.4% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 13%

sells slowly

6× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+1 186.53 ₴ +47.7% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

+1 056.81 ₴ +39.4% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767

Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+928.86 ₴ +81.6% chance of profit 60%

expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 60%

4× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+925.97 ₴ +66.2% chance of profit 30%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

345.84 ₴

at 57.64

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

251.92 ₴

at 62.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 597.75 ₴ +436.81 (+73.1%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

172.92 ₴

at 57.64

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

270.35 ₴

at 90.12

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

511.04 ₴

at 127.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 954.31 ₴ +275.85 (+28.9%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

288.20 ₴

at 57.64

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

62.98 ₴

at 62.98

Steam

×4

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

360.47 ₴

at 90.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 711.64 ₴ +388.11 (+54.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Factory New

897.33 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Factory New

880.67 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

891.47 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

1 447.86 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

1 991.48 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

1 479.50 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +344.22 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +421.69 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build