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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +1 007.18₽

Invest 5 362.92₽

Average return 6 370.10₽

ROI +18.8%

Chance of profit 55%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 13 748.61₽ · profit at most −7 378.51₽ (at most -53.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) × 1 12% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 757.17 → 1635.49 ₽

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) × 9 12% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 4605.75 → 12113.12 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection

+1 007.18 ₽ +18.8% chance of profit 55%

expensive: MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) · 8 217.83 ₽ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0795
9× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0795

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+3 179.47 ₽ +44.9% chance of profit 55%

expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770

Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

+2 295.40 ₽ +31.5% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 14 528.03 ₽ · chance 10%

sells slowly

8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
2× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+2 230.96 ₽ +38.7% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 40%

2× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
8× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683

Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+2 174.47 ₽ +35.2% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) · 9 595.17 ₽ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060

Variant 6 only The Snakebite Collection

+2 046.31 ₽ +29.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 50%

sells slowly

8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
2× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

How to build

12% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

757.17 ₽

at 757.17

Steam

×9

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

4 605.75 ₽

at 511.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 362.92 ₽ +1 007.18 (+18.8%)

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

6 057.36 ₽

at 757.17

Steam

×1

MP9 | Food Chain

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1709

382.61 ₽

at 382.61

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

511.75 ₽

at 511.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 951.72 ₽ +396.25 (+5.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

8 760.91 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | The Traitor

Minimal Wear

5 569.01 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

8 092.41 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

9 450.51 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -83.63 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +689.79 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1742385 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 1 000.37₽ · invest 5 733.57₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077531 instead of 0.079545
Craft 1718025 · The CS20 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 978.11₽ · invest 5 205.70₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075382 instead of 0.079545
Craft 1721094 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 951.94₽ · invest 5 914.59₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078422 instead of 0.079545
Craft 1736466 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 933.97₽ · invest 5 076.10₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077100 instead of 0.079545
Craft 1728837 · The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 927.34₽ · invest 5 201.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080552 instead of 0.079545
Craft 1741119 · The Revolution Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 924.17₽ · invest 5 140.67₽
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078762 instead of 0.079545
Craft 1726587 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 918.59₽ · invest 5 362.92₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Starlight Protector: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080552 instead of 0.079545; XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080552 instead of 0.079545

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build