Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1726698 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +747.40₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 386.87₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 134.27₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +53.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 467.21₽ · profit at most −1 332.93₽ (at most -38.4%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 26.59 → 57.43 ₽
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 173.36 → 383.13 ₽
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 7 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 1186.92 → 3026.65 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −668 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −668 ₽: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+747.40 ₽ +53.9% chance of profit 45%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −668 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 2× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
  • 7× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+2 199.31 ₽ +327.7% chance of profit 36%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+734.88 ₽ +137.0% chance of profit 32%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1638
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+490.94 ₽ +64.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 5 The Mirage Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+30 418.81 ₽ +155.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 592 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+6 678.44 ₽ +77.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 583 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0048
26.59 ₽
at 26.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004818f′ (normalized) 0.008453wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 831 · good ≈ 30
Market history: no data yet
×2
MAG-7 | Firestarter
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1658
173.36 ₽
at 86.68
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165832f′ (normalized) 0.246121wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 104 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×7
UMP-45 | Delusion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0755
1 186.92 ₽
at 169.56
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075506f′ (normalized) 0.053471wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 79 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 1 386.87 ₽ +747.40 (+53.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.040125, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.087500, 0.058625, 0.087500, 0.061250, 0.066500, 0.043750 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 9 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
Glock-18 | Grinder
Factory New
858.36 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)net 746.40 you get 0.040125The Vanguard Collection sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 859.66 ₽ (you get 747.53)) · buy orders: 14620 sell on Market.CSGO: 655.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 718.49 · lots 83 on CSFloat: from 598.75 ₽ listings: 435 on CS.Money: ~ 641.58 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 636.44 ₽ listings: 280
in profit
best
M4A4 | Griffin
Factory New
7 232.21 ₽ 22.50%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)net 6288.88 you get 0.070000The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 446.96 ₽ (you get 5 606.05)) · buy orders: 5075 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 459.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 986.15 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 5 139.49 ₽ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 5 554.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 386.18 ₽ listings: 158
in profit
M4A1-S | Basilisk
Factory New
2 494.55 ₽ 22.50%
Steam M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)net 2169.17 you get 0.059500The Vanguard Collection sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 485.27 ₽ (you get 2 161.10)) · buy orders: 4448 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 099.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 302.40 · lots 57 on CSFloat: from 2 082.35 ₽ listings: 186 on CS.Money: ~ 2 108.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 060.08 ₽ listings: 211
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Minimal Wear
257.11 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear)net 223.57 you get 0.087500The Vanguard Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 213.24 ₽ (you get 185.42)) · buy orders: 2895 sell on Market.CSGO: 182.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 199.70 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 176.46 ₽ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 191.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 183.31 ₽ listings: 61
at a loss
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
Factory New
149.06 ₽ 2.00%
Steam PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)net 129.62 you get 0.058625 sells 680 a week sell now to a buy order: 151.09 ₽ (you get 131.38)) · buy orders: 19565 sell on Market.CSGO: 116.13 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 127.34 · lots 107 on CSFloat: from 108.79 ₽ listings: 365 on CS.Money: ~ 107.93 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 118.21 ₽ listings: 459
at a loss
worst
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
Minimal Wear
103.06 ₽ 2.00%
Steam G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)net 89.62 you get 0.087500 sells 1257 a week sell now to a buy order: 101.36 ₽ (you get 88.13)) · buy orders: 26965 sell on Market.CSGO: 75.63 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 82.93 · lots 141 on CSFloat: from 73.67 ₽ listings: 215 on CS.Money: ~ 68.53 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 77.95 ₽ listings: 393
at a loss
M4A1-S | Night Terror
Factory New
177.33 ₽ 2.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)net 154.20 you get 0.061250 sells 1094 a week sell now to a buy order: 181.69 ₽ (you get 157.99)) · buy orders: 25671 sell on Market.CSGO: 140.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 154.24 · lots 174 on CSFloat: from 131.06 ₽ listings: 677 on CS.Money: ~ 136.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 149.05 ₽ listings: 651
at a loss
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
Factory New
206.19 ₽ 2.00%
Steam USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)net 179.30 you get 0.066500 sells 831 a week sell now to a buy order: 206.55 ₽ (you get 179.60)) · buy orders: 25294 sell on Market.CSGO: 168.14 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 184.37 · lots 203 on CSFloat: from 158.47 ₽ listings: 615 on CS.Money: ~ 160.18 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 161.04 ₽ listings: 519
at a loss
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
Factory New
110.00 ₽ 2.00%
Steam XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)net 95.65 you get 0.043750 sells 1305 a week sell now to a buy order: 107.10 ₽ (you get 93.13)) · buy orders: 15502 sell on Market.CSGO: 81.02 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 88.84 · lots 194 on CSFloat: from 78.81 ₽ listings: 312 on CS.Money: ~ 73.67 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 77.95 ₽ listings: 313
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