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The Dust 2 Collection + The Mirage Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +1 347.33₽

Invest 1 407.51₽

Average return 2 754.84₽

ROI +95.7%

Chance of profit 42%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 540.95₽ · profit at most −786.12₽ (at most -22.2%) · chance of profit at most 28%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 166.20 → 375.61 ₽

Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 1241.31 → 3165.34 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −675 ₽

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

166.20 ₽

at 55.40

Steam

×7

Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1 241.31 ₽

at 177.33

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 407.51 ₽ +1 347.33 (+95.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −1 196 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

110.80 ₽

at 55.40

Steam

×6

Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1 063.98 ₽

at 177.33

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

858.18 ₽

at 429.09

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 2 032.96 ₽ +1 081.72 (+53.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −1 466 ₽

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

55.40 ₽

at 55.40

Steam

×6

Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1 063.98 ₽

at 177.33

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1 287.27 ₽

at 429.09

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 2 406.65 ₽ +1 067.88 (+44.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −604 ₽

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

2.83 ₽

at 2.83

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

166.20 ₽

at 55.40

Steam

×6

Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1 063.98 ₽

at 177.33

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 233.01 ₽ +1 161.98 (+94.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −533 ₽

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

5.66 ₽

at 2.83

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

166.20 ₽

at 55.40

Steam

×5

Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

886.65 ₽

at 177.33

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 058.51 ₽ +976.63 (+92.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 58%

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Groundwater

Factory New

9 638.42 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Orange Peel

Factory New

3 447.02 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Negev | CaliCamo

Factory New

1 457.01 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Gator Mesh

Factory New

1 501.00 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Tropical Storm

Factory New

6 004.21 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Safari Mesh

Factory New

608.42 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Factory New

277.28 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Palm

Factory New

331.01 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo

Factory New

104.65 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | VariCamo

Factory New

35.13 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dust 2 Collection + The Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Office Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Office Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Nuke Collection instead of The Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +468.41 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 264.80 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dust 2 Collection and The Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1736705 · The Lake Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 1 355.35₽ · invest 1 421.58₽
profit on prices without salesat least −598 ₽ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New)
Craft 1735877 · The Italy Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 1 316.77₽ · invest 1 436.31₽
profit on prices without salesat least −678 ₽ rare inputs

Nova | Sand Dune (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New)
Craft 1736925 · The Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 1 305.34₽ · invest 1 474.02₽
profit on prices without salesat least −739 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New)
Craft 1715034 · The Boreal Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 1 232.83₽ · invest 1 076.02₽
profit on prices without salesat least −441 ₽ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074067
Craft 1709638 · The Achroma Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 1 231.62₽ · invest 1 074.82₽
profit on prices without salesat least −442 ₽ rare inputs

MP9 | Dizzy (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074067

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dust 2 Collection + The Mirage Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build