Crafts · The Falchion Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

LanguageRU
to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1727278 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +263.62₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 220.56₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 484.19₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +119.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 44%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 562.38₴ · profit at most −78.19₴ (at most -13.9%) · chance of profit at most 20%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 37.68 → 81.39 ₴
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 182.88 → 480.99 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection
+263.62 ₴ +119.5% chance of profit 44%
expensive: Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New) · 1 777.74 ₴ · chance 18%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 2 only The Gamma 2 Collection
+1 286.41 ₴ +342.8% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 10× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 186.51 ₴ +271.8% chance of profit 41%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 1× G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 172.26 ₴ +320.6% chance of profit 41%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 170.91 ₴ +314.3% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%
sells slowly
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 163.81 ₴ +304.3% chance of profit 44%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Riot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0059
37.68 ₴
at 37.68
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005975f′ (normalized) 0.008536wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 174 · good ≈ 12
on the market with this float, usually ~14, new ~0.5 per day, cheapest usually 112.71 ₴ · little data: 2.0 d.
×9
Five-SeveN | Scumbria
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0768
182.88 ₴
at 20.32
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076829f′ (normalized) 0.076829wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 133 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 220.56 ₴ +263.62 (+119.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.125800, 0.070000, 0.030800, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.042000, 0.070000, 0.036400, 0.035000, 0.175700 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 10 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 42%
  • Losing outcome 56%
  • About break-even 2%
in profit
Desert Eagle | Directive
Minimal Wear
347.85 ₴ 18.00%
Steam Desert Eagle | Directive (Minimal Wear)net 302.48 you get 0.125800The Gamma 2 Collection sells 87 a week sell now to a buy order: 348.74 ₴ (you get 303.25)) · buy orders: 17188 sell on Market.CSGO: 286.62 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 314.28 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 295.79 ₴ listings: 85 on CS.Money: ~ 270.65 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 278.73 ₴ listings: 83
in profit
best
Glock-18 | Weasel
Factory New
2 044.40 ₴ 18.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New)net 1777.74 you get 0.070000The Gamma 2 Collection sells ≈98 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 2 004.28 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 197.68 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 1 704.26 ₴ listings: 53 on CS.Money: ~ 1 849.68 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 680.02 ₴ listings: 64
at a loss
MAG-7 | Petroglyph
Factory New
72.63 ₴ 18.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New)net 63.15 you get 0.030800The Gamma 2 Collection sells 75 a week sell now to a buy order: 113.74 ₴ (you get 98.90)) · buy orders: 6607 sell on Market.CSGO: 95.03 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 104.21 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 90.22 ₴ listings: 91 on CS.Money: ~ 88.87 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 93.36 ₴ listings: 144
at a loss
SCAR-20 | Powercore
Factory New
193.88 ₴ 18.00%
Steam SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New)net 168.60 you get 0.070000The Gamma 2 Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 171.36 ₴ (you get 149.01)) · buy orders: 4679 sell on Market.CSGO: 146.04 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 160.14 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 153.95 ₴ listings: 64 on CS.Money: ~ 143.18 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 144.08 ₴ listings: 56
at a loss
SG 553 | Triarch
Factory New
217.20 ₴ 18.00%
Steam SG 553 | Triarch (Factory New)net 188.87 you get 0.070000The Gamma 2 Collection sells 18 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 178.93 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 196.20 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 175.05 ₴ listings: 123 on CS.Money: ~ 182.23 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 179.54 ₴ listings: 121
in profit
FAMAS | Neural Net
Factory New
312.92 ₴ 2.00%
Steam FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)net 272.11 you get 0.042000 sells 28 a week sell now to a buy order: 292.62 ₴ (you get 254.45)) · buy orders: 9026 sell on Market.CSGO: 237.22 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 260.12 · lots 88 on CSFloat: from 239.68 ₴ listings: 122 on CS.Money: ~ 246.86 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 241.48 ₴ listings: 275
in profit
P2000 | Handgun
Factory New
897.69 ₴ 2.00%
Steam P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)net 780.59 you get 0.070000 sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 861.83 ₴ (you get 749.42)) · buy orders: 2687 sell on Market.CSGO: 743.37 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 815.10 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 642.74 ₴ listings: 68 on CS.Money: ~ 682.24 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 703.79 ₴ listings: 71
in profit
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
Factory New
435.68 ₴ 2.00%
Steam M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)net 378.85 you get 0.036400 sells 147 a week sell now to a buy order: 424.90 ₴ (you get 369.48)) · buy orders: 15649 sell on Market.CSGO: 361.78 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 396.69 · lots 47 on CSFloat: from 333.04 ₴ listings: 532 on CS.Money: ~ 399.02 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 354.59 ₴ listings: 753
about break-even
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Factory New
260.24 ₴ 2.00%
Steam MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)net 226.30 you get 0.035000 sells 95 a week sell now to a buy order: 251.53 ₴ (you get 218.72)) · buy orders: 15545 sell on Market.CSGO: 196.46 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 215.41 · lots 33 on CSFloat: from 197.49 ₴ listings: 214 on CS.Money: ~ 207.37 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 199.74 ₴ listings: 256
at a loss
worst
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
50.62 ₴ 2.00%
Steam Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested)net 44.02 you get 0.175700 sells 236 a week sell now to a buy order: 46.10 ₴ (you get 40.08)) · buy orders: 17976 sell on Market.CSGO: 36.17 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 39.66 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 34.56 ₴ listings: 82 on CS.Money: ~ 35.91 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 36.81 ₴ listings: 128
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work