Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1727290 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 069.50₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 126.98₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 196.48₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +94.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 751.01₽ · profit at most −554.53₽ (at most -20.2%) · chance of profit at most 13%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 591.06 → 1483.56 ₽
Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 535.92 → 1267.45 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection
+1 069.50 ₽ +94.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) · 3 094.36 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly
  • 6× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
  • 4× Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 634.30 ₽ +149.9% chance of profit 87%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 14 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection
+2 270.59 ₽ +78.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 4× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 249.30 ₽ +46.3% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection
+2 186.20 ₽ +50.6% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection
+1 828.95 ₽ +68.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1624
591.06 ₽
at 98.51
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162445f′ (normalized) 0.044010wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 218 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 371.79 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
×4
Desert Eagle | Directive
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1624
535.92 ₽
at 133.98
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162445f′ (normalized) 0.108984wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 474 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 1 126.98 ₽ +1 069.50 (+94.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.022400, 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 100%
  • Losing outcome 0%
in profit
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Factory New
2 305.66 ₽ 20.00%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)net 2004.92 you get 0.070000 sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 116.16 ₽ (you get 1 840.13)) · buy orders: 693
in profit
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
2 385.76 ₽ 20.00%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 2074.57 you get 0.022400 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 380.08 ₽ (you get 2 069.63)) · buy orders: 2273
in profit
worst
SG 553 | Cyrex
Factory New
2 275.90 ₽ 20.00%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)net 1979.04 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 255.77 ₽ (you get 1 961.53)) · buy orders: 1006
in profit
AUG | Syd Mead
Factory New
2 494.55 ₽ 13.33%
Steam AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New)net 2169.17 you get 0.056000The Gamma 2 Collection sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 551.25 ₽ (you get 2 218.47)) · buy orders: 2283
in profit
MP9 | Airlock
Factory New
2 440.59 ₽ 13.33%
Steam MP9 | Airlock (Factory New)net 2122.25 you get 0.070000The Gamma 2 Collection sells 9 a week no buy orders
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector
Factory New
3 558.51 ₽ 13.33%
Steam Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Factory New)net 3094.36 you get 0.070000The Gamma 2 Collection sells 3 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 870.86 ₽ (you get 3 365.96)) · buy orders: 3411
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