Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1727360 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 819.71₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 142.15₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 7 961.86₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +29.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 15 093.65₽ · profit at most −7 131.79₽ (at most -47.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 788.11 → 1702.32 ₽
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) × 8 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4247.92 → 11002.11 ₽
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1106.12 → 2389.22 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection
+1 819.71 ₽ +29.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 8× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 1× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 677.90 ₽ +49.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 45%
float out of reach
  • 9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 1× XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 578.71 ₽ +45.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 1× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 541.55 ₽ +43.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 9 950.36 ₽ · chance 5.0%
float out of reach rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1649
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 378.96 ₽ +43.3% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 332.00 ₽ +36.6% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 14 528.03 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SG 553 | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0763
788.11 ₽
at 788.11
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076399f′ (normalized) 0.076399wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 54 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×8
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1683
4 247.92 ₽
at 530.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168399f′ (normalized) 0.168399wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 303 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 602.49 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
×1
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0763
1 106.12 ₽
at 1 106.12
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076399f′ (normalized) 0.076399wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 245 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 6 142.15 ₽ +1 819.71 (+29.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 all outcomes come out at 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | The Oligarch
Minimal Wear
11 182.75 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear)net 9724.13 you get 0.150000The Genesis Collection sells 56 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 9 119.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 999.99 · lots 49 on CSFloat: from 8 442.46 ₽ listings: 185 on CS.Money: ~ 9 070.34 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 993.25 ₽ listings: 248
in profit
M4A4 | Full Throttle
Minimal Wear
7 921.40 ₽ 45.00%
Steam M4A4 | Full Throttle (Minimal Wear)net 6888.17 you get 0.150000The Genesis Collection sells ≈39 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 6 442.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 063.89 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 6 024.34 ₽ listings: 176 on CS.Money: ~ 6 390.95 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 319.86 ₽ listings: 231
at a loss
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Minimal Wear
6 264.01 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)net 5446.97 you get 0.150000 sells 50 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 978.41 ₽ (you get 5 198.61)) · buy orders: 1476 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 560.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 000.00 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 4 539.88 ₽ listings: 171 on CS.Money: ~ 5 402.46 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 738.61 ₽ listings: 466
at a loss
worst
AWP | Hyper Beast
Minimal Wear
4 921.43 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)net 4279.50 you get 0.150000 sells ≈59 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 4 908.37 ₽ (you get 4 268.14)) · buy orders: 1555 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 871.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 244.74 · lots 47 on CSFloat: from 3 728.70 ₽ listings: 215 on CS.Money: ~ 4 067.05 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 982.25 ₽ listings: 297
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