Crafts · The Falchion Collection
₸≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 5.2744 ₸. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1727361 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +138 946.41₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 135 426.14₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 274 372.55₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +102.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 349 665.92₸ · profit at most −75 293.32₸ (at most -21.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 13840.10 → 29894.63 ₸
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) × 9 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 121586.04 → 319771.28 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −135 426 ₸ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −135 426 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection
+138 946.43 ₸ +102.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New) · 293 686.98 ₸ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −135 426 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052
  • 9× StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+192 550.15 ₸ +156.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 407 336.20 ₸ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
  • 9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Genesis Collection
+180 244.89 ₸ +150.9% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 407 336.20 ₸ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+116 390.29 ₸ +49.9% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 619 416.65 ₸ · chance 45%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 2× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 7× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Genesis Collection
+116 100.04 ₸ +53.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 619 416.65 ₸ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Genesis Collection
+54 996.56 ₸ +86.2% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 192 910.13 ₸ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0052
13 840.10 ₸
at 13 840.10
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005219f′ (normalized) 0.016311wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 39 · from 34 824.18 ₸ (float 0.0041) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0759
121 586.04 ₸
at 13 509.56
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075965f′ (normalized) 0.075965wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 135 426.14 ₸ +138 946.41 (+102.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 95%
  • Losing outcome 5%
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch
Factory New
329 885.56 ₸ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New)net 286856.99 you get 0.070000The Genesis Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 252 974.75 ₸ (you get 219 978.03)) · buy orders: 935 sell on Market.CSGO: 229 296.31 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 251 421.40 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 194 388.27 ₸ listings: 29 on Lis-Skins: from 213 133.17 ₸ listings: 41
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle
Factory New
337 740.05 ₸ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New)net 293686.98 you get 0.070000The Genesis Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 210 820.72 ₸ (you get 183 322.32)) · buy orders: 820 sell on Market.CSGO: 203 259.49 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 222 872.29 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 162 193.51 ₸ listings: 25 on CS.Money: ~ 171 179.67 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 161 091.17 ₸ listings: 44
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Factory New
175 359.19 ₸ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)net 152486.25 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 148 598.35 ₸ (you get 129 215.94)) · buy orders: 647 sell on Market.CSGO: 124 033.08 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 136 001.21 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 114 755.31 ₸ listings: 48 on CS.Money: ~ 132 691.49 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 129 135.87 ₸ listings: 48
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
126 579.60 ₸ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 110069.24 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 114 549.29 ₸ (you get 99 608.05)) · buy orders: 930 sell on Market.CSGO: 119 923.82 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 131 495.42 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 92 780.12 ₸ listings: 25 on CS.Money: ~ 99 376.30 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 94 049.66 ₸ listings: 32
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