Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Graphic Design Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1727400 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 467.38₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 117.06₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 584.44₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +35.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 40%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 390.42₽ · profit at most −3 805.98₽ (at most -40.5%) · chance of profit at most 20%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 591.06 → 1483.56 ₽
CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 619.00 → 1337.04 ₽
CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 2907.00 → 6569.82 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Graphic Design Collection
+1 467.38 ₽ +35.6% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Starcade (Factory New) · 17 804.34 ₽ · chance 20%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1619
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1619
  • 3× CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Graphic Design Collection
+2 270.59 ₽ +78.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 4× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 261.09 ₽ +40.6% chance of profit 40%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Graphic Design Collection
+2 186.20 ₽ +50.6% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 017.83 ₽ +33.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Starcade (Factory New) · 17 804.34 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 017.35 ₽ +45.7% chance of profit 47%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Starcade (Factory New) · 17 804.34 ₽ · chance 10%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1619
591.06 ₽
at 98.51
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161994f′ (normalized) 0.043125wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 218 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 371.79 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
×1
CZ75-Auto | Slalom
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1619
619.00 ₽
at 619.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161994f′ (normalized) 0.284200wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 53 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
CZ75-Auto | Slalom
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
2 907.00 ₽
at 969.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074171f′ (normalized) 0.130126wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 45 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 3 927.45 ₽ · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 10 pcs 4 117.06 ₽ +1 467.38 (+35.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.093333233 result 0.074667, 0.070000, 0.093333, 0.029867, 0.093333 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 40%
  • Losing outcome 60%
in profit
AUG | Lil' Pig
Minimal Wear
7 638.85 ₽ 20.00%
price without deals
Steam AUG | Lil' Pig (Minimal Wear)net 6642.48 you get 0.074667The Graphic Design Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 724.78 ₽ (you get 4 108.50)) · buy orders: 1883
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Starcade
Factory New
20 474.99 ₽ 20.00%
Steam Desert Eagle | Starcade (Factory New)net 17804.34 you get 0.070000The Graphic Design Collection sells ≈4 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 16 506.60 ₽ (you get 14 353.56)) · buy orders: 1785 sell on Market.CSGO: 14 966.71 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 410.87 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 13 509.14 ₽ listings: 106 on CS.Money: ~ 14 173.85 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 411.49 ₽ listings: 189
at a loss
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
822.81 ₽ 20.00%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)net 715.49 you get 0.093333 sells 32 a week sell now to a buy order: 783.16 ₽ (you get 681.00)) · buy orders: 1955 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 616.74 ₽ listings: 33 on CS.Money: ~ 654.43 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 688.69 ₽ listings: 39
at a loss
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
2 385.76 ₽ 20.00%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 2074.57 you get 0.029867 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 380.08 ₽ (you get 2 069.63)) · buy orders: 2273 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 987.81 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 179.62 · lots 43 on CSFloat: from 1 884.48 ₽ listings: 91 on CS.Money: ~ 1 960.71 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 879.34 ₽ listings: 112
at a loss
worst
SG 553 | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
788.11 ₽ 20.00%
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)net 685.31 you get 0.093333 sells 56 a week sell now to a buy order: 743.00 ₽ (you get 646.08)) · buy orders: 4267 sell on Market.CSGO: 673.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 738.47 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 593.61 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 619.31 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 651.86 ₽ listings: 63
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