Crafts · The Falchion Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1727446 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 383.67₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 859.78₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 243.45₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +28.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 11 957.40₴ · profit at most −5 713.95₴ (at most -47.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 483.00 → 1043.28 ₴
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 3395.98 → 8795.60 ₴
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 980.80 → 2118.52 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 371 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 371 ₴: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection
+1 383.67 ₴ +28.5% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) · 10 070.55 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 371 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 8× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+17 906.83 ₴ +150.9% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 40 467.71 ₴ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+17 836.21 ₴ +147.3% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 40 467.71 ₴ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+11 534.21 ₴ +53.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 61 537.31 ₴ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+11 289.90 ₴ +51.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 61 537.31 ₴ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0091
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0804
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0091
Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+5 463.75 ₴ +86.2% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 19 165.08 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1620
483.00 ₴
at 483.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162024f′ (normalized) 0.162024wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1620
3 395.98 ₴
at 424.50
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162024f′ (normalized) 0.202530wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 10 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
×1
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
980.80 ₴
at 980.80
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074182f′ (normalized) 0.092728wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 4 859.78 ₴ +1 383.67 (+28.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.150000, 0.187500, 0.187500, 0.187500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider
Minimal Wear
11 581.13 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)net 10070.55 you get 0.150000The Horizon Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 693.31 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 8 435.65 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 7 150.07 ₴ listings: 75 on CS.Money: ~ 7 437.78 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 7 475.49 ₴ listings: 63
at a loss
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red
Field-Tested
3 431.66 ₴ 45.00%
Steam StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)net 2984.06 you get 0.187500The Horizon Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 368.15 ₴ (you get 2 928.82)) · buy orders: 405 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 651.39 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 907.23 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 2 717.75 ₴ listings: 26 on CS.Money: ~ 2 934.09 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 2 763.08 ₴ listings: 50
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Field-Tested
5 117.68 ₴ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested)net 4450.16 you get 0.187500
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 659.39 ₴ (you get 4 051.64)) · buy orders: 616 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 823.05 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 4 191.95 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 3 553.49 ₴ listings: 66 on CS.Money: ~ 3 965.08 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 769.39 ₴ listings: 45
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Field-Tested
3 366.58 ₴ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)net 2927.46 you get 0.187500 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 333.07 ₴ (you get 2 898.32)) · buy orders: 706 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 866.81 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 143.43 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 2 752.75 ₴ listings: 51 on CS.Money: ~ 2 950.25 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 2 901.77 ₴ listings: 59
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