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The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +5 014.53₴

Invest 8 814.96₴

Average return 13 829.49₴

ROI +56.9%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 21 563.83₴ · profit at most −7 734.34₴ (at most -35.9%) · chance of profit at most 5%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 5868.65 → 15199.80 ₴

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1374.98 → 2969.95 ₴

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1571.34 → 3394.09 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −8 815 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

+5 014.53 ₴ +56.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) · 25 242.83 ₴ · chance 5.0%

profit on prices without salesat least −8 815 ₴

8× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759
1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052
1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

+18 233.38 ₴ +147.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 40 467.71 ₴ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

+17 906.83 ₴ +150.9% chance of profit 95%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 40 467.71 ₴ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

+11 534.21 ₴ +53.3% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 61 537.31 ₴ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077

Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

+10 541.70 ₴ +45.0% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 61 537.31 ₴ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
2× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
7× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093

Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

+5 463.75 ₴ +86.2% chance of profit 55%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 19 165.08 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052
9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5 868.65 ₴

at 733.58

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 374.98 ₴

at 1 374.98

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1 571.34 ₴

at 1 571.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 814.96 ₴ +5 014.53 (+56.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −9 653 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5 135.07 ₴

at 733.58

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 374.98 ₴

at 1 374.98

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3 142.67 ₴

at 1 571.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 652.72 ₴ +4 964.19 (+51.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −10 490 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

4 401.49 ₴

at 733.58

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 374.98 ₴

at 1 374.98

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

4 714.01 ₴

at 1 571.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 490.47 ₴ +4 913.84 (+46.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −13 004 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2 200.74 ₴

at 733.58

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 374.98 ₴

at 1 374.98

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

9 428.02 ₴

at 1 571.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 003.74 ₴ +4 762.81 (+36.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

17 421.44 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

12 575.33 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo

Factory New

19 078.01 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Factory New

29 029.26 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 443.63 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 403.52 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1727906 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 5 054.30₴ · invest 7 691.11₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 691 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075252 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.004596 instead of 0.005219
Craft 1727443 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 4 994.25₴ · invest 8 224.42₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 224 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.005219
Craft 1727300 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4 977.70₴ · invest 7 882.41₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 882 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.005219
Craft 1727272 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 4 879.74₴ · invest 7 974.36₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 311 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.005219
Craft 1727937 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4 767.25₴ · invest 8 141.31₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 868 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1727663 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4 704.07₴ · invest 8 041.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 042 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build