Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1727796 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +565.33₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 098.35₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 663.68₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +51.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 33%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 712.92₽ · profit at most −1 049.24₽ (at most -38.7%) · chance of profit at most 17%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 492.55 → 1216.60 ₽
PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 605.80 → 1496.33 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection
+565.33 ₽ +51.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) · 4 914.91 ₽ · chance 17%
rare inputs
  • 5× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 5× PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection
+2 270.59 ₽ +78.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 4× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection
+2 186.20 ₽ +50.6% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 105.17 ₽ +42.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection
+1 828.95 ₽ +68.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection
+1 701.97 ₽ +97.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly
  • 6× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1632
492.55 ₽
at 98.51
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163289f′ (normalized) 0.045665wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 218 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 371.79 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
×5
PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1632
605.80 ₽
at 121.16
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163289f′ (normalized) 0.163289wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 1 098.35 ₽ +565.33 (+51.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.104477512 result 0.104478, 0.033433, 0.104478, 0.070000, 0.214179, 0.104478 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 33%
  • Losing outcome 67%
at a loss
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
822.81 ₽ 16.67%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)net 715.49 you get 0.104478 sells 32 a week sell now to a buy order: 783.16 ₽ (you get 681.00)) · buy orders: 1955
in profit
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
2 385.76 ₽ 16.67%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 2074.57 you get 0.033433 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 380.08 ₽ (you get 2 069.63)) · buy orders: 2273
at a loss
SG 553 | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
788.11 ₽ 16.67%
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)net 685.31 you get 0.104478 sells 56 a week sell now to a buy order: 743.00 ₽ (you get 646.08)) · buy orders: 4267
in profit
best
AK-47 | Point Disarray
Factory New
5 652.15 ₽ 16.67%
Steam AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New)net 4914.91 you get 0.070000The Revolver Case Collection sells 11 a week no buy orders
at a loss
worst
G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
780.41 ₽ 16.67%
Steam G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)net 678.62 you get 0.214179The Revolver Case Collection sells 72 a week sell now to a buy order: 915.12 ₽ (you get 795.75)) · buy orders: 5192
at a loss
P90 | Shapewood
Minimal Wear
1 050.15 ₽ 16.67%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)net 913.17 you get 0.104478The Revolver Case Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 027.96 ₽ (you get 893.87)) · buy orders: 3614
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