Crafts · The Falchion Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1727879 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +6 306.13₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 7 709.06₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 14 015.19₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +81.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 55%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 19 693.12₴ · profit at most −5 677.93₴ (at most -28.8%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 237.45 → 512.90 ₴
SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 398.24 → 860.19 ₴
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 7073.37 → 18320.03 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −7 709 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −7 709 ₴: AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New), MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New), AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New), AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection
+6 306.13 ₴ +81.8% chance of profit 55%
expensive: AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) · 24 323.84 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −7 709 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 6 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+953.52 ₴ +29.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 5 095.38 ₴ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 8× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 1× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 3 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+904.33 ₴ +19.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 6 426.74 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 2× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1705
  • 7× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+597.91 ₴ +21.2% chance of profit 50%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 4 633.14 ₴ · chance 45%
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1639
  • 2× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 7× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+546.30 ₴ +10.3% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 6 919.61 ₴ · chance 80%
rare inputs
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+482.30 ₴ +15.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 4 039.89 ₴ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SG 553 | Cyrex
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1616
237.45 ₴
at 237.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161659f′ (normalized) 0.161659wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 96 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
SG 553 | Colony IV
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1616
398.24 ₴
at 398.24
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161659f′ (normalized) 0.161659wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 61 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
×8
SSG 08 | Bloodshot
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1616
7 073.37 ₴
at 884.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161659f′ (normalized) 0.047085wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 74 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 470.82 ₴ · among lots up to 12 995.86 ₴
Set · 10 pcs 7 709.06 ₴ +6 306.13 (+81.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 45%
  • About break-even 5%
in profit
best
AWP | Containment Breach
Factory New
27 972.41 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)net 24323.84 you get 0.070000The Shattered Web Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 20 397.55 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 22 365.74 · lots 9 on CSFloat: from 15 862.57 ₴ listings: 56 on CS.Money: ~ 17 916.48 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 16 547.06 ₴ listings: 94
at a loss
worst
MAC-10 | Stalker
Factory New
5 587.91 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New)net 4859.05 you get 0.070000The Shattered Web Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 039.20 ₴ (you get 4 381.91)) · buy orders: 1656 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 300.94 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 4 715.94 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 4 040.49 ₴ listings: 46 on CS.Money: ~ 4 408.09 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 4 270.29 ₴ listings: 52
in profit
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Factory New
11 091.65 ₴ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)net 9644.91 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 270.30 ₴ (you get 8 930.69)) · buy orders: 1248 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 683.12 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 520.96 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 8 061.23 ₴ listings: 145 on CS.Money: ~ 8 641.58 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 374.07 ₴ listings: 121
about break-even
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
9 214.83 ₴ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 8012.89 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 518.58 ₴ (you get 7 407.46)) · buy orders: 1208 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 717.30 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 7 365.47 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 6 608.77 ₴ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 6 977.27 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 6 671.16 ₴ listings: 102
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