Crafts · The Falchion Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

LanguageRU
to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1727925 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +553.43₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 556.44₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 109.88₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +99.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 362.35₴ · profit at most −252.47₴ (at most -18.5%) · chance of profit at most 10%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 361.33 → 921.39 ₴
UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 195.11 → 440.96 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection
+553.43 ₴ +99.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) · 1 929.01 ₴ · chance 10%
sells slowly
  • 7× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
  • 3× UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection
+1 189.77 ₴ +78.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 4× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 178.09 ₴ +46.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection
+1 145.55 ₴ +50.6% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection
+958.36 ₴ +68.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection
+891.82 ₴ +97.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 40%
sells slowly
  • 6× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1615
361.33 ₴
at 51.62
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161580f′ (normalized) 0.042315wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 218 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 718.81 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 128) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
UMP-45 | Exposure
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0740
195.11 ₴
at 65.04
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074028f′ (normalized) 0.134596wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 99 · from 526.04 ₴ (float 0.0701) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 556.44 ₴ +553.43 (+99.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.022400, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.049000, 0.076900 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 10%
in profit
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Factory New
1 208.15 ₴ 23.33%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)net 1050.57 you get 0.070000 sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 108.85 ₴ (you get 964.22)) · buy orders: 693 sell on Market.CSGO: 974.42 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 068.44 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 873.45 ₴ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 908.46 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 907.11 ₴ listings: 45
in profit
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
1 250.12 ₴ 23.33%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 1087.06 you get 0.022400 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 247.15 ₴ (you get 1 084.47)) · buy orders: 2273 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 041.60 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 142.11 · lots 43 on CSFloat: from 987.46 ₴ listings: 91 on CS.Money: ~ 1 027.40 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 984.76 ₴ listings: 112
in profit
SG 553 | Cyrex
Factory New
1 192.56 ₴ 23.33%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)net 1037.00 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 182.01 ₴ (you get 1 027.83)) · buy orders: 1006 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 045.86 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 146.78 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 936.29 ₴ listings: 66 on CS.Money: ~ 950.65 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 994.63 ₴ listings: 101
in profit
PP-Bizon | High Roller
Factory New
1 367.68 ₴ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New)net 1189.28 you get 0.070000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 102.84 ₴ (you get 958.99)) · buy orders: 1596 sell on Market.CSGO: 951.88 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 043.73 · lots 9 on CSFloat: from 896.34 ₴ listings: 74 on CS.Money: ~ 909.81 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 932.70 ₴ listings: 52
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass
Factory New
2 218.36 ₴ 10.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New)net 1929.01 you get 0.049000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells ≈28 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 2 220.71 ₴ (you get 1 931.05)) · buy orders: 3941 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 765.77 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 936.15 · lots 63 on CSFloat: from 1 674.19 ₴ listings: 132 on CS.Money: ~ 1 808.39 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 737.02 ₴ listings: 245
about break-even
worst
R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon
Minimal Wear
658.95 ₴ 10.00%
Steam R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear)net 573.00 you get 0.076900The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 55 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 510.38 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 559.63 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 445.70 ₴ listings: 56 on CS.Money: ~ 482.50 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 485.20 ₴ listings: 78
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work