Crafts · The Falchion Collection
₸≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 5.2744 ₸. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1728032 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +116 100.06₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 217 643.49₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 333 743.55₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +53.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 532 427.37₸ · profit at most −198 683.82₸ (at most -37.3%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 13840.10 → 29894.63 ₸
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) × 3 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 36055.01 → 81484.33 ₸
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) × 6 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 167748.38 → 421048.42 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 45.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -162 637.46 ₸.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+116 100.04 ₸ +53.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 619 416.65 ₸ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+180 244.89 ₸ +150.9% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 407 336.20 ₸ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+172 660.50 ₸ +139.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 407 336.20 ₸ · chance 45%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection
+124 478.28 ₸ +53.7% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 619 416.65 ₸ · chance 50%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 7× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+115 940.51 ₸ +48.2% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) · 676 245.93 ₸ · chance 5.0%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 7× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
  • 1× StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+96 359.44 ₸ +39.8% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 619 416.65 ₸ · chance 45%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 7× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0077
13 840.10 ₸
at 13 840.10
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007781f′ (normalized) 0.024318wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 39 · from 34 462.73 ₸ (float 0.0071) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0788
36 055.01 ₸
at 12 018.34
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078893f′ (normalized) 0.078893wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 6 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 14) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0077
167 748.38 ₸
at 27 958.06
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007781f′ (normalized) 0.007781wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 4) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 217 643.49 ₸ +116 100.06 (+53.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.030769131 result 0.070000, 0.018461, 0.030769, 0.030769 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel
Factory New
632 057.84 ₸ 45.00%
sell on CSFloat
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)net 619416.65 you get 0.070000The Vanguard Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 632 057.84 ₸ listings 8 · you get 619 416.65 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 564 712.05 ₸ (you get 491 053.95)) · buy orders: 430 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 632 057.84 ₸ listings: 8 on Lis-Skins: from 715 268.99 ₸ listings: 9
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
107 022.24 ₸ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New)net 93062.83 you get 0.018461The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 92 933.23 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 101 900.51 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 81 300.08 ₸ listings: 13 on Lis-Skins: from 82 190.13 ₸ listings: 13
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Factory New
175 359.19 ₸ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)net 152486.25 you get 0.030769
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 148 598.35 ₸ (you get 129 215.94)) · buy orders: 647 sell on Market.CSGO: 124 033.08 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 136 001.21 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 114 755.31 ₸ listings: 48 on CS.Money: ~ 132 691.49 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 129 135.87 ₸ listings: 48
at a loss
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
126 579.60 ₸ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 110069.24 you get 0.030769
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 114 549.29 ₸ (you get 99 608.05)) · buy orders: 930 sell on Market.CSGO: 119 923.82 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 131 495.42 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 92 780.12 ₸ listings: 25 on CS.Money: ~ 99 376.30 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 94 049.66 ₸ listings: 32
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