Crafts · The Falchion Collection
₸≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 5.2744 ₸. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1728128 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +180 244.89₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 119 419.64₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 299 664.53₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +150.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 302 266.16₸ · profit at most −2 601.64₸ (at most -0.9%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 7384.01 → 15949.47 ₸
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 8966.43 → 19367.49 ₸
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 103069.20 → 266949.23 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 45.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -3 056.39 ₸.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+180 244.89 ₸ +150.9% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 407 336.20 ₸ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+193 454.89 ₸ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 407 336.20 ₸ · chance 50%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
  • 9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+116 100.04 ₸ +53.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 619 416.65 ₸ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+54 996.56 ₸ +86.2% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 192 910.13 ₸ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759
Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+23 386.41 ₸ +48.4% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 118 509.39 ₸ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 2× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 7× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+5 329.47 ₸ +26.3% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) · 44 794.01 ₸ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn) buy 0.3800–0.3847
  • 9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1655

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
7 384.01 ₸
at 7 384.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074580f′ (normalized) 0.074580wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 20 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 32) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1631
8 966.43 ₸
at 8 966.43
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163167f′ (normalized) 0.139415wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 20 269.51 ₸
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 79 · from 29 384.57 ₸ (float 0.1563) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
103 069.20 ₸
at 12 883.65
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074580f′ (normalized) 0.060750wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 32 · from 27 934.33 ₸ (float 0.0729) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 119 419.64 ₸ +180 244.89 (+150.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.050800, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 95%
  • Losing outcome 5%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar
Factory New
415 649.18 ₸ 45.00%
sell on CSFloat
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New)net 407336.20 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 415 649.18 ₸ listings 10 · you get 407 336.20 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 342 805.60 ₸ (you get 298 091.82)) · buy orders: 541 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 415 649.18 ₸ listings: 10 on Lis-Skins: from 458 628.23 ₸ listings: 11
in profit
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Factory New
263 823.97 ₸ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)net 229412.14 you get 0.050800The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 141 996.32 ₸ (you get 123 475.05)) · buy orders: 585 sell on Market.CSGO: 134 341.04 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 147 303.81 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 115 202.57 ₸ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 123 660.13 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 123 750.53 ₸ listings: 30
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Factory New
175 359.19 ₸ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)net 152486.25 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 148 598.35 ₸ (you get 129 215.94)) · buy orders: 647 sell on Market.CSGO: 124 033.08 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 136 001.21 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 114 755.31 ₸ listings: 48 on CS.Money: ~ 132 691.49 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 129 135.87 ₸ listings: 48
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
126 579.60 ₸ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 110069.24 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 114 549.29 ₸ (you get 99 608.05)) · buy orders: 930 sell on Market.CSGO: 119 923.82 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 131 495.42 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 92 780.12 ₸ listings: 25 on CS.Money: ~ 99 376.30 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 94 049.66 ₸ listings: 32
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