StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1728298 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+13 600.44₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».13 520.22₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.27 120.66₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+100.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.95%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 34 880.90₴
· profit at most −7 760.26₴
(at most -22.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) × 19% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.161440.98 → 3112.52 ₴
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) × 99% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.6312079.23 → 31768.38 ₴
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 562 ₴Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 562 ₴: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0059
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0062
(9% of this wear's listings)
1 440.98 ₴
at 1 440.98
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 031.84 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 48 · from 2 345.65 ₴ (float 0.0011) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0770
(0% of this wear's listings)
12 079.23 ₴
at 1 342.14
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs13 520.22 ₴
+13 600.44
(+100.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −10 813 ₴
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0770
(0% of this wear's listings)
551.77 ₴
at 551.77
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 83) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0062
(9% of this wear's listings)
1 440.98 ₴
at 1 440.98
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 031.84 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 48 · from 2 345.65 ₴ (float 0.0011) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0770
(0% of this wear's listings)
10 737.10 ₴
at 1 342.14
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs12 729.84 ₴
+12 673.75
(+99.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −9 065 ₴
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0770
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 103.53 ₴
at 551.77
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 83) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0062
(9% of this wear's listings)
1 440.98 ₴
at 1 440.98
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 031.84 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 48 · from 2 345.65 ₴ (float 0.0011) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0770
(0% of this wear's listings)
9 394.96 ₴
at 1 342.14
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs11 939.47 ₴
+11 747.06
(+98.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −7 316 ₴
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0770
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 655.30 ₴
at 551.77
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 83) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0062
(9% of this wear's listings)
1 440.98 ₴
at 1 440.98
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 031.84 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 48 · from 2 345.65 ₴ (float 0.0011) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0770
(0% of this wear's listings)
8 052.82 ₴
at 1 342.14
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs11 149.10 ₴
+10 820.37
(+97.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −5 567 ₴
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0770
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 207.06 ₴
at 551.77
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 83) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0062
(9% of this wear's listings)
1 440.98 ₴
at 1 440.98
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 031.84 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 48 · from 2 345.65 ₴ (float 0.0011) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0770
(0% of this wear's listings)
6 710.68 ₴
at 1 342.14
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs10 358.73 ₴
+9 893.69
(+95.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch
Factory New
32 773.21 ₴45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New)net 28498.44you get 0.070000The Genesis Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 25 132.33 ₴
(you get 21 854.20)) · buy orders: 935
sell on Market.CSGO: 22 779.95 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 24 978.01 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 19 311.93 ₴listings: 29
on Lis-Skins: from 21 174.18 ₴listings: 41
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle
Factory New
33 553.53 ₴45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New)net 29176.98you get 0.070000The Genesis Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 944.45 ₴
(you get 18 212.56)) · buy orders: 820
sell on Market.CSGO: 20 193.26 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 22 141.74 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 16 113.47 ₴listings: 25
on CS.Money: ~ 17 006.22 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 16 003.96 ₴listings: 44
in profit
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream
Factory New
22 039.84 ₴5.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New)net 19165.08you get 0.070000sells 2 a weeksell now to a buy order: 18 348.94 ₴
(you get 15 955.60)) · buy orders: 1670
sell on Market.CSGO: 16 348.60 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 17 926.10 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 13 695.11 ₴listings: 65
on CS.Money: ~ 15 020.99 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 15 402.96 ₴listings: 48
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip
Factory New
4 794.54 ₴5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)net 4169.17you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 260.54 ₴
(you get 3 704.81)) · buy orders: 1426
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 442.54 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 774.72 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 3 411.21 ₴listings: 27
on CS.Money: ~ 3 678.72 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 3 659.42 ₴listings: 38
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+10 492.17 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+13 281.52 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
24 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1732849
· The Genesis Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 14 536.64₴
· invest 12 578.33₴
profit on prices without salesat least −12 578 ₴rare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1732732
· The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 455.23₴
· invest 12 685.77₴
profit on prices without salesat least −12 686 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075855 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1717545
· The CS20 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 14 051.97₴
· invest 12 824.36₴
profit on prices without salesat least −12 683 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1732553
· The Genesis Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 13 948.25₴
· invest 12 941.59₴
profit on prices without salesat least −12 577 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1729184
· The Fracture Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 13 904.16₴
· invest 12 610.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −12 458 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1732778
· The Genesis Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 13 887.29₴
· invest 12 776.09₴
profit on prices without salesat least −12 067 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1727361
· The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 13 803.94₴
· invest 13 454.21₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 454 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1720592
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 13 753.00₴
· invest 13 381.11₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 381 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1722484
· The Clutch Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 13 751.89₴
· invest 12 684.75₴
profit on prices without salesat least −12 202 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1725028
· The Dead Hand Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 13 733.76₴
· invest 13 796.99₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 797 ₴rare inputs
Craft 1732438
· The Genesis Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 13 726.66₴
· invest 13 298.73₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 299 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1716568
· The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 13 714.33₴
· invest 13 745.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 746 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1730999
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 13 691.53₴
· invest 13 384.64₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 385 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1732666
· The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 13 679.93₴
· invest 13 159.52₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 160 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1732821
· The Genesis Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 603.69₴
· invest 13 052.86₴
profit on prices without salesat least −12 780 ₴rare inputs
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
